Mid-October North Atlantic System
1 resort in the path, 43cm at the biggest. Watching — the models see it but do not yet agree closely.
+43CM
Predicted at Galdhopiggen
4–111cm, models far apart
Storm
Oct 13–16
1 resort in the path
Peak
Oct 15
23cm at Galdhopiggen
Predicted
43cm
Galdhopiggen · 4–111cm, models far apart
Confidence
Watching
Updated
Oct 10, 00:30 UTC
SnowSure Forecaster
Written from the blend and the model spread · updated Oct 10, 00:30 UTC
Current prediction: 43cm for Galdhopiggen between 2026-10-13 and 2026-10-16, 43cm our central figure. The biggest day is 2026-10-15 at 23cm. Galdhopiggen is the only resort clearing our threshold so far. Confidence is watching: the signal has crossed our threshold but the models still disagree on how much. On day one we said 43cm for Galdhopiggen; that is the number we are measured against. These figures are re-read from the latest model blend; each entry in the log keeps what we said at the time.
Forecast log
Every entry, newest first. Nothing is overwritten.
- Day 1·Oct 10·Watching·43cmFirst prediction
Forecast: 43.2cm for Galdhopiggen Oct 13–16, range 3.7–110.9cm
The prediction for the mid-October North Atlantic system indicates 43.2cm for Galdhopiggen over the window from October 13 to 16, with a range of 3.7–110.9cm. Current patterns suggest a favorable setup for snowfall across the Alps and wider Europe, though confidence remains moderate as we monitor evolving data. Galdhopiggen is positioned to receive the most significant totals, particularly on October 15, when we expect the biggest day at 22.6cm. Other resorts may see lesser amounts or miss out entirely, depending on localized conditions. A shift in the storm track or intensity could alter these predictions, particularly if the system strengthens or weakens as it approaches.
Window Oct 13–16 · Galdhopiggen
Snow by day
Oct 12 – Oct 17, with a day either side. For each resort: where the freeze line sits against the mountain, then what falls — snow in cm, rain in mm — and the day read from those two numbers.
Galdhopiggenbase 1,850 m · summit 2,200 m
—cm snow
no daily data
No daily series on file for these resorts yet.
Rain / snow line
Base to summit for each mountain, with the snow line cut across them.
The system
700mb flow — where the storm is, and what is steering it. Pins sized by forecast total.
72-hour snowfall forecast for the same window.
In the path
Forecast, not observation — none of this has fallen yet. Totals are across the window. We will post what fell when the window closes.
Last updated 2026-10-10 06:30 UTC. SnowSure scans a blend of seven weather models twice daily and flags systems clearing 30cm over 72 hours, three to fourteen days out. This watch opened on 2026-10-10 with 43cm forecast at Galdhopiggen.
