North America
Projected to open December 4, 2026
Best months to book: February, January, December · last season + 30-yr record
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Projected to open Dec 4
Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.
Last Snowfall
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Past 24 Hours
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Past 48 Hours
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Past 10 Days
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7-Day Forecast
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Snow Depth
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Wintergreen Resort is projected to open December 4, 2026. Here is when it is usually best to book.
Best months to book
Best weeks to book
Ranked on 25% last season's SnowSure score (2025-26) · 75% 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.
Updated Oct 30 at 9:09 PM
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
No measurement at mid height (919m) reached us: past snow shown is the model's estimate at the summit.
30 Fri 19° / 7° | 31 Sat 13° / 2° | 1 Sun 13° / 4° | 2 Mon 14° / 5° | 3 Tue 15° / 3° | 4 Wed 13° / 6° | 5 Thu 18° / 12° | Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | 6 Fri | 7 Sat | 8 Sun | 9 Mon | 10 Tue | 11 Wed | 12 Thu | |
| Conditions | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ⛅ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ⛅ | ⛅ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☀️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☀️ | 🌧️ | 🌧️ | 🌤️ | |||||||
| clear | clear | clear | some clouds | cloudy | cloudy | some clouds | some clouds | cloudy | cloudy | clear | cloudy | cloudy | clear | clear | cloudy | cloudy | clear | drizzle | light drizzle | mostly clear | ||||||||
| Mid-mountain919 mModeled | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Temp°C | 12° | 19° | 11° | 6° | 12° | 8° | 7° | 13° | 8° | 8° | 13° | 8° | 8° | 15° | 9° | 10° | 14° | 11° | 13° | 15° | 13° | |||||||
| Feels like°C | 10° | 15° | 8° | 3° | 11° | 5° | 5° | 9° | 5° | 7° | 12° | 5° | 5° | 12° | 5° | 7° | 13° | 9° | 13° | 17° | 13° | |||||||
| Snowcm | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | |||||||
| Precipmm | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | 0.2 | · | · | · | 0.4 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 5.2 | 4.2 | 6.2 | |||||||
| Windkm/h | 13 | 14 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 10 | |||||||
| Summit1,071 mModeled | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Temp°C | 11° | 18° | 10° | 5° | 11° | 7° | 6° | 12° | 7° | 7° | 12° | 7° | 7° | 14° | 8° | 9° | 13° | 10° | 12° | 14° | 12° | |||||||
| Feels like°C | 8° | 14° | 7° | 2° | 9° | 4° | 4° | 8° | 4° | 5° | 10° | 4° | 4° | 11° | 4° | 6° | 11° | 8° | 11° | 16° | 12° | |||||||
| Snowcm | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | |||||||
| Precipmm | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | 0.2 | · | · | · | 0.4 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 5.2 | 4.2 | 6.2 | |||||||
| Windkm/h | 13 | 14 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 10 | |||||||
| Base766 mModeled | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Temp°C | 13° | 20° | 12° | 7° | 13° | 9° | 8° | 14° | 9° | 9° | 14° | 9° | 9° | 16° | 10° | 11° | 15° | 12° | 14° | 16° | 14° | |||||||
| Feels like°C | 11° | 17° | 9° | 4° | 12° | 6° | 6° | 11° | 6° | 8° | 13° | 6° | 6° | 14° | 6° | 9° | 14° | 10° | 14° | 18° | 15° | |||||||
| Snowcm | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | |||||||
| Precipmm | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | 0.2 | · | · | · | 0.4 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 5.2 | 4.2 | 6.1 | |||||||
| Windkm/h | 13 | 14 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 10 | |||||||
| Humidity% | 59 | 34 | 54 | 78 | 44 | 74 | 69 | 43 | 71 | 66 | 40 | 71 | 84 | 55 | 82 | 95 | 86 | 95 | 95 | 84 | 98 | |||||||
| 0°C linem | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||
| Sunhours | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.
Every model for Wintergreen Resort, side by side for 14 days
Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here.
Unlock with ProThe black line is not a simple average. For Wintergreen Resort (east coast), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).
Building verification history for this resort.
How we verify forecasts →Mid-Atlantic & Appalachians region
El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27
Wintergreen Resort is under review in SnowSure's El Niño dataset — we will not publish a rank against a discontinuous historical series.
This station is under review and carries no rank: its 30-year ERA5 baseline falls below the 80cm floor our methodology commits to, so percentage swings computed on it are unstable by construction. We expect it to benefit from El Niño; our method cannot size that reliably.
In 10 past El Niño winters at Wintergreen Resort, ERA5 season snowfall median was 61 cm (24 in), about 42% above this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.
Prevailing ONI
El Niño
JAS 2026 · ANOM +2.16°C
Analog season median
61cm
10 El Niño winters · 42% above median
All-season median
43cm
Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)
| Phase | Seasons | Median | p25–p75 | Recent analogs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Niñocurrent | 10 | 61cm | 29cm – 110cm | 2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009 |
| La Niña | 12 | 35cm | 29cm – 45cm | 2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010 |
| ENSO-neutral | 8 | 49cm | 39cm – 65cm | 2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003 |
Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.
How accurate is this forecast?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.
