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Whitefish Mountain Resort ski resort
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Tier E — Deep timing play — aim late winter

North America

Whitefish Mountain Resort Snow Forecast

Opens December 4, 2026

Best months to book: March, January, February · last season + 30-yr record

Opens Dec 4

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

Oct 30

today

Past 24 Hours

1cm

Past 48 Hours

5cm

Past 10 Days

7cm

7-Day Forecast

0cm

Snow Depth

--

Updated: Oct 30, 11:06 PM•Weather at base: 1,340m
SnowSure™ Score2025-26 season
Opens Dec 4

Whitefish Mountain Resort opens December 4, 2026. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: March, January, February. Best weeks: 10 Mar–16 Mar, 3 Mar–9 Mar, 24 Feb–2 Mar.Dec2Jan3Feb1MarAprOpens 4 DecCloses 12 Apr

Best months to book

  1. #1March40cm avg · last season 30.5
  2. #2January52cm avg
  3. #3February41cm avg · last season 27

Best weeks to book

  1. #1 10 Mar – 16 Mar · last season 44.6
  2. #2 3 Mar – 9 Mar · last season 31.3
  3. #3 24 Feb – 2 Mar · last season 25.3

Ranked on 25% last season's SnowSure score (2025-26) · 75% 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

Updated Oct 30 at 11:06 PM

14cm
Season
7cm
Past 10 days48H 5cm · 24H 1cm
0cm
Today
0cm
Next 6 days
Days 8–14 · Pro
0
1
Seasontotal
5
1
Wed28
Thu29
14 daystotal
—
—
—
—
—
—
0
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
TueOct 20
Wed21
Thu22
Fri23
Sat24
Sun25
Mon26
Tue27
TODAY30
Sat31
SunNov 1
Mon2
Tue3
Wed4
Thu5
Fri6
Sat7
Sun8
Mon9
Tue10
Wed11
Thu12
Freezing line
Snow qualityLight· bestAverage· okayHeavy· wet, skis heavy

Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro

No measurement at mid height (1,703m) reached us: past snow shown is the model's estimate at the summit.

Hourly Forecast

30 Fri
2° / -9°
31 Sat
3° / -6°
1 Sun
2° / -5°
2 Mon
-1° / -7°
3 Tue
0° / -7°
4 Wed
3° / -5°
5 Thu
1° / -5°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight6 Fri7 Sat8 Sun9 Mon10 Tue11 Wed12 Thu
Conditions☁️⛅☁️⛅⛅⛅☁️☁️⛅☁️☁️☀️☁️☁️☁️☀️☀️☀️☀️☁️☀️
cloudysome cloudscloudysome cloudssome cloudssome cloudscloudycloudysome cloudscloudycloudyclearcloudycloudycloudyclearclearclearclearcloudyclear
Mid-mountain1,703 mModeled
Temp°C-3°3°-1°-2°4°0°0°3°0°-3°1°-3°-3°2°-3°-2°3°-1°-1°1°-1°
Feels like°C-10°-1°-6°-5°2°-5°-4°1°-5°-6°-2°-6°-7°-1°-6°-5°1°-5°-3°-1°-4°
Snowcm··················0.20.10.1
Precipmm·······0.4··········0.20.10.1
Windkm/h957223423152322232395
Summit2,066 mModeled
Temp°C-5°1°-4°-4°2°-3°-2°1°-3°-6°-1°-5°-6°-1°-5°-4°1°-4°-4°-1°-4°
Feels like°C-12°-4°-9°-8°-1°-7°-6°-2°-7°-8°-5°-8°-9°-4°-9°-7°-1°-7°-6°-4°-6°
Snowcm·······0.3··········0.20.10.1
Precipmm·······0.4··········0.20.10.1
Windkm/h957223423152322232395
Base1,340 mModeled
Temp°C0°5°1°1°7°2°2°6°2°-1°4°0°-1°4°0°0°6°1°1°4°1°
Feels like°C-7°2°-4°-3°4°-2°-1°4°-2°-3°0°-3°-4°1°-4°-2°4°-2°0°2°-1°
Snowcm··················0.1··
Precipmm·······0.4··········0.10.10.1
Windkm/h957223423152322232395
Humidity%916187856785796885888688957492725877837383
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Whitefish Mountain Resort, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Whitefish Mountain Resort (rockies), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Pacific Northwest & BC region

14 Day map is in SnowSure ProUnlock with Pro

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Whitefish Mountain Resort El Niño rank & forecast

Whitefish Mountain Resort ranks #458 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier E, −22% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier E — Deep timing play — aim late winter: Strong El Niño winters ran clearly below this resort’s own baseline (≤ −8%). Still skiable — schedule late season; one storm cycle can beat the climatology.

#458 of 488Tier E — Deep timing play — aim late winter

Strong-event signal: −22% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Whitefish Mountain Resort averaged -22% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The honest read: this is the fleet's deepest timing play. The snow still comes — it comes later and leaner, so point your winter 2026-27 trip at the historical late-winter peak, stay flexible on dates, and watch our monthly scorecard. Analog winters: '97-98 -30%, '15-16 -24%, '23-24 -11%. One caveat that always holds: a single storm cycle can beat the climatology.

'97-98 −30%'15-16 −24%'23-24 −11%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Whitefish Mountain Resort, ERA5 season snowfall median was 235 cm (93 in), about 11% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JAS 2026 · ANOM +2.16°C

Analog season median

235cm

10 El Niño winters · 11% below median

All-season median

265cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10235cm197cm – 244cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12273cm261cm – 335cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8286cm268cm – 349cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about Whitefish Mountain Resort

How much snow is Whitefish Mountain Resort getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at Whitefish Mountain Resort over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Whitefish Mountain Resort?
The full 14-day forecast for Whitefish Mountain Resort — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Whitefish Mountain Resort?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.