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The Remarkables ski resort
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Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

Oceania

The Remarkables Snow Forecast

40

Good · 2026 season average

Projected to open June 18, 2027 · average of 113 verified open days

Best months to book: August, September, July · last season + 30-yr record

Projected to open Jun 18 — closed October 11

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

Oct 31

today

Past 24 Hours

2cm

Resort reported

Past 48 Hours

2cm

Past 10 Days

2cm

7-Day Forecast

0cm

Snow Depth

--

🎿

Powder Days

9

2026 season

☀️

Bluebird Days

2

2026 season

Updated: Oct 30, 11:05 PM•Weather at base: 1,585m
SnowSure™ Score2026 season
40

Good

2026 season average

The Remarkables is projected to open June 18, 2027. Last season it averaged 40.4 across 113 verified open days.

Best months to book: August, September, July. Best weeks: 23 Aug–29 Aug, 16 Aug–22 Aug, 9 Aug–15 Aug.Jun3Jul1Aug2SepOctOpened 21 JunClosed 11 Oct

Best months to book

  1. #1August32cm avg · last season 47.8
  2. #2September36cm avg · last season 54.1
  3. #3July32cm avg · last season 25.6

Best weeks to book

  1. #1 23 Aug – 29 Aug · last season 61.1
  2. #2 16 Aug – 22 Aug · last season 45.6
  3. #3 9 Aug – 15 Aug · last season 42

Ranked on 25% last season's SnowSure score (2026) · 75% 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. Last season's strongest fortnight was 25 Aug – 7 Sep. One season describes what happened, not what to expect. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

Updated Oct 30 at 11:05 PM

160cm
Season
5cm
Past 10 days48H 5cm · 24H 2cm
0cm
Today
0cm
Next 6 days
Days 8–14 · Pro
Seasontotal
2
2
Thu29
Fri30
14 daystotal
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
WedOct 21
Thu22
Fri23
Sat24
Sun25
Mon26
Tue27
Wed28
TODAY31
SunNov 1
Mon2
Tue3
Wed4
Thu5
Fri6
Sat7
Sun8
Mon9
Tue10
Wed11
Thu12
Fri13
Freezing line

Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro

No measurement at mid height (1,764m) reached us: past snow shown is the model's estimate at the summit.

Hourly Forecast

31 Sat
4° / -9°
1 Sun
4° / -8°
2 Mon
9° / 1°
3 Tue
8° / -5°
4 Wed
11° / 1°
5 Thu
11° / 2°
6 Fri
12° / 4°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight7 Sat8 Sun9 Mon10 Tue11 Wed12 Thu13 Fri
Conditions🌤️☁️☀️☁️☁️☁️🌧️☀️☀️🌤️🌤️🌤️🌧️⛅⛅⛅🌧️☁️🌧️🌤️🌧️
mostly clearcloudyclearcloudycloudycloudydrizzleclearclearmostly clearmostly clearmostly clearlight drizzlesome cloudssome cloudssome cloudslight drizzlecloudylight drizzlemostly clearlight drizzle
Mid-mountain1,764 mModeled
Temp°C-4°3°-2°0°6°1°5°9°4°1°9°3°3°9°5°5°12°6°5°11°7°
Feels like°C-9°0°-6°-5°1°-3°2°7°1°-2°7°0°2°8°4°4°10°4°5°11°6°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·····0.15.90.22.2··1.30.81.01.50.10.20.40.30.61.7
Windkm/h696415331251433743124483
Summit1,943 mModeled
Temp°C-6°2°-3°-1°5°0°4°8°3°0°7°2°2°8°4°4°10°5°4°10°5°
Feels like°C-10°-1°-7°-6°-1°-5°1°6°-1°-3°5°-2°1°7°2°2°8°3°4°10°5°
Snowcm············0.1·0.1······
Precipmm·····0.15.90.22.2··1.30.81.01.50.10.20.40.30.61.7
Windkm/h696415331251433743124483
Base1,585 mModeled
Temp°C-3°4°-1°1°7°2°6°10°6°2°10°4°4°10°6°6°13°7°6°12°8°
Feels like°C-7°2°-4°-4°2°-2°4°8°2°-1°8°1°4°10°5°5°11°6°6°12°8°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·····0.15.90.22.2··1.30.81.01.50.10.20.40.30.61.7
Windkm/h696415331251433743124483
Humidity%695367805977815771815583906581805580825877
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for The Remarkables, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For The Remarkables (southern alps), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

New Zealand region

14 Day map is in SnowSure ProUnlock with Pro

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026

The Remarkables El Niño rank & forecast

The Remarkables ranks #23 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier A, +17% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain: Historically snowed much more than normal in strong El Niño winters (≥ +8% vs this resort’s own 30-year average).

#23 of 488Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

Strong-event signal: +17% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), The Remarkables averaged +17% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically been a friend here. With a record-strength event forecast for winter 2026, The Remarkables sits on the favorable side of the ledger. Analog winters: '97-98 +2%, '15-16 +32%, '23-24 +17%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 +2%'15-16 +32%'23-24 +17%

In-season scorecard

Predicted signal

+17%

Measured to date

+2%

Season total

160 cm

Vs predicted

−15%

Predicted signal vs measured season-to-date against this resort’s own climatology.

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 5 past El Niño winters at The Remarkables, ERA5 season snowfall median was 179 cm (70 in), about 3% above this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JJA 2026 · ANOM +1.8°C

Analog season median

179cm

5 El Niño winters · 3% above median

All-season median

174cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent5179cm172cm – 197cm2023, 2015, 2009, 2002, 1997
La Niña4163cm145cm – 182cm2022, 2010, 1999, 1998
ENSO-neutral21157cm131cm – 204cm2025, 2024, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about The Remarkables

How much snow is The Remarkables getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at The Remarkables over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for The Remarkables?
The full 14-day forecast for The Remarkables — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for The Remarkables?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.