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St-Luc-Chandolin ski resort
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Tier B — Favored

Europe

St-Luc-Chandolin Snow Forecast

Projected to open December 18, 2026

Best months to book: March, January, February · last season + 30-yr record

Projected to open Dec 18 — closed April 12

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

Oct 25

5d ago

Past 24 Hours

0cm

Past 48 Hours

0cm

Past 10 Days

49cm

7-Day Forecast

0cm

Snow Depth

--

Updated: Oct 30, 10:06 PM•Weather at base: 1,678m
SnowSure™ Score2025-26 season
Projected to open Dec 18

St-Luc-Chandolin is projected to open December 18, 2026. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: March, January, February. Best weeks: 29 Mar–4 Apr, 15 Mar–21 Mar, 22 Mar–28 Mar.Dec2Jan3Feb1MarAprOpens 18 DecCloses 12 Apr

Best months to book

  1. #1March72cm avg · last season 22
  2. #2January85cm avg
  3. #3February70cm avg · last season 16.4

Best weeks to book

  1. #1 29 Mar – 4 Apr · last season 31.1
  2. #2 15 Mar – 21 Mar · last season 26.9
  3. #3 22 Mar – 28 Mar · last season 26.7

Ranked on 25% last season's SnowSure score (2025-26) · 75% 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

Updated Oct 30 at 10:06 PM

28cm
Season
49cm
Past 10 days48H 0cm · 24H 0cm
0cm
Today
0cm
Next 6 days
Days 8–14 · Pro
15
14
1
7
5
7
0
Seasontotal
Wed28
Thu29
14 daystotal
—
—
—
—
0
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
TueOct 20
Wed21
Thu22
Fri23
Sat24
Sun25
Mon26
Tue27
TODAY30
Sat31
SunNov 1
Mon2
Tue3
Wed4
Thu5
Fri6
Sat7
Sun8
Mon9
Tue10
Wed11
Thu12
Freezing line

Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro

No measurement at mid height (2,322m) reached us: past snow shown is the model's estimate at the summit.

Hourly Forecast

30 Fri
-1° / -10°
31 Sat
-1° / -11°
1 Sun
-6° / -17°
2 Mon
-4° / -17°
3 Tue
-4° / -12°
4 Wed
-5° / -16°
5 Thu
-4° / -15°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight6 Fri7 Sat8 Sun9 Mon10 Tue11 Wed12 Thu
Conditions☀️☀️🌤️☀️☀️🌤️☀️☀️☀️🌤️☀️☀️🌤️🌤️⛅⛅☀️☀️🌤️⛅🌤️
clearclearmostly clearclearclearmostly clearclearclearclearmostly clearclearclearmostly clearmostly clearsome cloudssome cloudsclearclearmostly clearsome cloudsmostly clear
Mid-mountain2,322 mModeled
Temp°C1°5°0°1°5°-1°-1°0°-3°-3°1°-4°-2°1°-3°-2°1°-3°-2°1°-3°
Feels like°C-6°2°-8°-6°1°-9°-6°-4°-10°-9°-4°-11°-8°-3°-10°-8°-1°-9°-9°-4°-10°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·············0.1······0.1
Windkm/h130231371141131332564
Summit2,965 mModeled
Temp°C-3°0°-4°-4°1°-5°-5°-5°-7°-8°-4°-9°-7°-4°-7°-7°-4°-7°-7°-4°-8°
Feels like°C-10°-6°-12°-12°-6°-12°-14°-12°-16°-14°-9°-17°-14°-9°-15°-16°-10°-16°-16°-10°-16°
Snowcm·············0.10.10.10.20.40.10.10.4
Precipmm·············0.10.10.10.30.40.10.10.4
Windkm/h322222664222223344565
Base1,678 mModeled
Temp°C3°7°2°3°8°2°2°4°0°0°4°-1°1°5°0°1°5°0°1°5°0°
Feels like°C-2°6°-3°-2°6°-4°-2°0°-6°-5°1°-7°-4°2°-5°-4°3°-4°-4°1°-6°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm····················0.1
Windkm/h130231371141131332564
Humidity%634374594376473872504476614781624770735875
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for St-Luc-Chandolin, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For St-Luc-Chandolin (alps), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

The Alps region

14 Day map is in SnowSure ProUnlock with Pro

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

St-Luc-Chandolin El Niño rank & forecast

St-Luc-Chandolin ranks #120 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier B, +7% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier B — Favored: Modest El Niño upside (+3% to +8% vs normal). Often a solid pick, without the biggest Andes-style swings.

#120 of 488Tier B — Favored

Strong-event signal: +7% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), St-Luc-Chandolin averaged +7% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically leaned mildly in this resort's favor for winter 2026-27. Analog winters: '97-98 -16%, '15-16 +1%, '23-24 +36%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 −16%'15-16 +1%'23-24 +36%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at St-Luc-Chandolin, ERA5 season snowfall median was 473 cm (186 in), about 10% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JAS 2026 · ANOM +2.16°C

Analog season median

473cm

10 El Niño winters · 10% below median

All-season median

528cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10473cm448cm – 610cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12553cm506cm – 604cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8534cm484cm – 580cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about St-Luc-Chandolin

How much snow is St-Luc-Chandolin getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at St-Luc-Chandolin over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for St-Luc-Chandolin?
The full 14-day forecast for St-Luc-Chandolin — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for St-Luc-Chandolin?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.