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Red Lodge Mountain ski resort
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Tier E — Deep timing play — aim late winter

North America

Red Lodge Mountain Snow Forecast

Projected to open November 27, 2026

Best months to book: April, March, February · last season + 30-yr record

Projected to open Nov 27

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

Oct 27

3d ago

Past 24 Hours

0cm

Past 48 Hours

0cm

Past 10 Days

5cm

7-Day Forecast

9cm

Snow Depth

--

Updated: Oct 30, 10:06 PM•Weather at base: 2,138m
SnowSure™ Score2025-26 season
Projected to open Nov 27

Red Lodge Mountain is projected to open November 27, 2026. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: April, March, February. Best weeks: 8 Mar–14 Mar, 29 Mar–4 Apr, 1 Mar–7 Mar.NovDecJan3Feb2Mar1AprOpens 27 NovCloses 5 Apr

Best months to book

  1. #1April44cm avg · last season 40.6
  2. #2March37cm avg · last season 34.7
  3. #3February34cm avg · last season 34.1

Best weeks to book

  1. #1 8 Mar – 14 Mar · last season 45.1
  2. #2 29 Mar – 4 Apr · last season 35.9
  3. #3 1 Mar – 7 Mar · last season 38.3

Ranked on 25% last season's SnowSure score (2025-26) · 75% 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

Updated Oct 30 at 10:06 PM

20cm
Season
5cm
Past 10 days48H 0cm · 24H 0cm
0cm
Today
9cm
Next 6 days
Days 8–14 · Pro
3
3
Seasontotal
Wed28
Thu29
14 daystotal
—
0
2
7
—
0
0
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
TueOct 20
Wed21
Thu22
Fri23
Sat24
Sun25
Mon26
Tue27
TODAY30
Sat31
SunNov 1
Mon2
Tue3
Wed4
Thu5
Fri6
Sat7
Sun8
Mon9
Tue10
Wed11
Thu12
Freezing line
Snow qualityLight· bestAverage· okayHeavy· wet, skis heavy

Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro

Past snow measured by Cole Creek SNOTEL at 2,411 m (7,910 ft), mid height.

Hourly Forecast

30 Fri
5° / -3°
31 Sat
4° / -1°
1 Sun
3° / -2°
2 Mon
0° / -8°
3 Tue
5° / -9°
4 Wed
1° / -8°
5 Thu
-1° / -9°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight6 Fri7 Sat8 Sun9 Mon10 Tue11 Wed12 Thu
Conditions☁️⛅☁️☁️🌤️☁️☁️🌧️☁️🌧️☁️🌧️🌤️☀️🌤️☁️☁️☁️☀️☀️⛅
cloudysome cloudscloudycloudymostly clearcloudycloudylight drizzlecloudydrizzlecloudylight drizzlemostly clearclearmostly clearcloudycloudycloudyclearclearsome clouds
Mid-mountain2,504 mModeled
Temp°C0°6°0°2°4°1°2°3°0°-1°1°-2°-1°5°-2°0°4°-1°-1°4°-2°
Feels like°C-9°-4°-9°-6°0°-6°-6°-3°-6°-8°-6°-8°-9°-2°-9°-6°-2°-6°-6°-2°-8°
Snowcm···0.1····2.72.30.43.2·····0.1··0.2
Precipmm···1.10.30.2·0.84.03.40.64.7···0.1····0.2
Windkm/h264222667202114101131484674
Summit2,870 mModeled
Temp°C0°4°0°1°2°0°0°2°-1°-3°-1°-3°-3°3°-4°-2°1°-2°-3°0°-4°
Feels like°C-4°-1°-4°-1°-1°-3°-4°-1°-4°-5°-5°-6°-9°-1°-9°-5°-3°-6°-10°-6°-10°
Snowcm···0.4·0.2·0.32.92.60.63.9···0.4·0.1··0.3
Precipmm···1.10.20.30.11.24.33.30.85.0···0.40.10.2··0.2
Windkm/h41233744825544633318126
Base2,138 mModeled
Temp°C2°6°2°3°6°3°4°5°2°1°3°0°1°7°0°2°6°1°1°6°0°
Feels like°C-7°-2°-6°-3°3°-3°-3°-1°-4°-6°-4°-6°-6°0°-6°-4°1°-3°-4°0°-5°
Snowcm········1.32.50.43.5········0.2
Precipmm···1.20.30.2·0.64.23.80.75.3···0.1····0.2
Windkm/h264222667202114101131484674
Humidity%876892846385898992946690726178634361635872
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Red Lodge Mountain, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Red Lodge Mountain (rockies), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Northern Rockies & Canadian Rockies region

14 Day map is in SnowSure ProUnlock with Pro

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Red Lodge Mountain El Niño rank & forecast

Red Lodge Mountain ranks #382 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier E, −12% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier E — Deep timing play — aim late winter: Strong El Niño winters ran clearly below this resort’s own baseline (≤ −8%). Still skiable — schedule late season; one storm cycle can beat the climatology.

#382 of 488Tier E — Deep timing play — aim late winter

Strong-event signal: −12% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Red Lodge Mountain averaged -12% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. Historically this is a timing play rather than a reason to stay home: aim for late winter (February–March) in winter 2026-27. Analog winters: '97-98 -28%, '15-16 -44%, '23-24 +37%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 −29%'15-16 −44%'23-24 +37%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Red Lodge Mountain, ERA5 season snowfall median was 185 cm (73 in), about 8% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JAS 2026 · ANOM +2.16°C

Analog season median

185cm

10 El Niño winters · 8% below median

All-season median

202cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10185cm175cm – 334cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12222cm168cm – 382cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8278cm166cm – 363cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about Red Lodge Mountain

How much snow is Red Lodge Mountain getting this week?
The SnowSure™ blend forecasts about 9 cm (4 in) of snow at Red Lodge Mountain over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Red Lodge Mountain?
The full 14-day forecast for Red Lodge Mountain — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Red Lodge Mountain?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.