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Palisades Tahoe ski resort
Ikon PassView resorts
Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

North America

Palisades Tahoe Snow Forecast

Opens November 25, 2026

Best months to book: February, March, January · last season + 30-yr record

Opens Nov 25 — closed May 3

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

Oct 30

today

Past 24 Hours

0cm

Past 48 Hours

0cm

Past 10 Days

0cm

7-Day Forecast

10cm

Snow Depth

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Updated: Oct 30, 11:04 PM•Weather at base: 1,890m
SnowSure™ Score2025-26 season
Opens Nov 25

Palisades Tahoe opens November 25, 2026. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: February, March, January. Best weeks: 22 Feb–28 Feb, 22 Mar–28 Mar, 1 Mar–7 Mar.NovDec3Jan1Feb2MarAprMayOpens 25 NovCloses 3 May

Best months to book

  1. #1February113cm avg · last season 26.1
  2. #2March98cm avg · last season 16.2
  3. #3January109cm avg

Best weeks to book

  1. #1 22 Feb – 28 Feb · last season 26.1
  2. #2 22 Mar – 28 Mar · last season 21
  3. #3 1 Mar – 7 Mar · last season 16.1

Ranked on 25% last season's SnowSure score (2025-26) · 75% 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

Updated Oct 30 at 11:04 PM

3cm
Season
0cm
Past 10 days48H 0cm · 24H 0cm
0cm
Today
10cm
Next 6 days
Days 8–14 · Pro
Seasontotal
Wed28
Thu29
14 daystotal
—
6
4
—
1
0
0
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
TueOct 20
Wed21
Thu22
Fri23
Sat24
Sun25
Mon26
Tue27
TODAY30
Sat31
SunNov 1
Mon2
Tue3
Wed4
Thu5
Fri6
Sat7
Sun8
Mon9
Tue10
Wed11
Thu12
Freezing line
Snow qualityLight· bestAverage· okayHeavy· wet, skis heavy

Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro

Past snow measured by Palisades Tahoe SNOTEL at 2,441 m (8,010 ft), mid height.

Hourly Forecast

30 Fri
3° / -5°
31 Sat
0° / -5°
1 Sun
3° / -6°
2 Mon
7° / -7°
3 Tue
4° / -6°
4 Wed
5° / -8°
5 Thu
8° / -6°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight6 Fri7 Sat8 Sun9 Mon10 Tue11 Wed12 Thu
Conditions🌧️🌧️🌧️❄️🌧️☁️☁️🌧️☀️🌤️☁️☁️☀️🌧️☁️☁️☀️☁️☁️☀️☀️
light drizzlelight drizzlelight drizzlelight snowdrizzlecloudycloudylight drizzleclearmostly clearcloudycloudycleardrizzlecloudycloudyclearcloudycloudyclearclear
Mid-mountain2,276 mModeled
Temp°C1°4°1°1°2°0°-1°3°-2°-1°7°-1°2°7°0°0°6°0°2°6°0°
Feels like°C-3°0°-4°-4°-2°-5°-4°1°-5°-4°5°-5°-4°-1°-5°-6°2°-6°0°5°-4°
Snowcm0.3··1.13.13.50.50.12.2····0.10.7··0.10.10.10.4
Precipmm1.00.60.83.07.35.10.60.12.4····0.71.0··0.10.10.21.1
Windkm/h9145510424426314176673341
Summit2,661 mModeled
Temp°C-1°2°-1°-1°-1°-3°-4°0°-4°-4°4°-3°-1°5°-3°-3°4°-3°-1°4°-2°
Feels like°C-6°-3°-7°-6°-5°-7°-7°-2°-8°-6°2°-8°-6°-3°-8°-9°0°-9°-3°2°-6°
Snowcm0.90.1·2.14.84.10.50.22.4····0.20.7··0.10.10.10.7
Precipmm1.30.80.83.17.15.90.60.32.5····0.71.0··0.10.10.21.1
Windkm/h9145510424426314176673341
Base1,890 mModeled
Temp°C4°7°3°3°5°2°1°6°1°1°10°1°4°10°2°2°9°2°4°10°2°
Feels like°C0°3°-1°-1°1°-2°-1°3°-3°-1°7°-2°-1°2°-2°-3°5°-3°3°7°-1°
Snowcm····0.20.70.4·1.6····0.10.1··0.1·0.10.1
Precipmm0.90.60.73.16.24.80.60.12.3····0.61.0··0.10.10.21.0
Windkm/h9145510424426314176673341
Humidity%967397989699864585733983556683895792765684
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Palisades Tahoe, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Palisades Tahoe (sierra), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

California & Sierra Nevada region

14 Day map is in SnowSure ProUnlock with Pro

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Palisades Tahoe El Niño rank & forecast

Palisades Tahoe ranks #90 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier A, +9% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain: Historically snowed much more than normal in strong El Niño winters (≥ +8% vs this resort’s own 30-year average).

#90 of 488Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

Strong-event signal: +9% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Palisades Tahoe averaged +9% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline — one of the strongest positive El Niño signals we track. With NOAA forecasting a potentially record event for winter 2026-27, history says this is the winter to book Palisades Tahoe with confidence. Individual analog winters: '97-98 +33%, '15-16 +0%, '23-24 -6%. A lean, not a law — but the lean is firmly up.

'97-98 +33%'15-16 0%'23-24 −6%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Palisades Tahoe, ERA5 season snowfall median was 572 cm (225 in), about 4% above this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JAS 2026 · ANOM +2.16°C

Analog season median

572cm

10 El Niño winters · 4% above median

All-season median

549cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10572cm515cm – 655cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12526cm460cm – 723cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8503cm409cm – 574cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

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Frequently asked questions about Palisades Tahoe

How much snow is Palisades Tahoe getting this week?
The SnowSure™ blend forecasts about 10 cm (4 in) of snow at Palisades Tahoe over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Palisades Tahoe?
The full 14-day forecast for Palisades Tahoe — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Palisades Tahoe?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.