Name: SnowSure MCP Server
Author: SnowSure

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Tier B — Favored

Asia

Projected to open Nov 29

Projected to open November 29, 2026

Best months to book: March, February, April · 30-yr snow record

Scroll for happiness

Projected to open Nov 29

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

Oct 31

today

Past 24 Hours

2cm

Past 48 Hours

2cm

Past 10 Days

3cm

7-Day Forecast

6cm

Snow Depth

Updated: Oct 30, 11:04 PM•Weather at base: 2,200m

SnowSure™ ScoreWhen to book

Projected to open Nov 29

Palandöken is projected to open November 29, 2026. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book

#1March58cm avg
#2February40cm avg
#3April39cm avg

Ranked on 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

Updated Oct 30 at 11:04 PM

Snow qualityLightAverageHeavy

Freezing line

11cm

Season

3cm

Past 10 days48H 2cm · 24H 2cm

0cm

Today

6cm

Next 6 days

Days 8–14 · Pro

Seasontotal

Thu29

Fri30

14 daystotal

—

WedOct 21

Thu22

Fri23

Sat24

Sun25

Mon26

Tue27

Wed28

TODAY31

SunNov 1

Mon2

Tue3

Wed4

Thu5

Fri6

Sat7

Sun8

Mon9

Tue10

Wed11

Thu12

Fri13

Freezing line

Snow qualityLight· bestAverage· okayHeavy· wet, skis heavy

Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro

No measurement at mid height (2,663m) reached us: past snow shown is the model's estimate at the summit.

Hourly Forecast

	31 Sat 1° / -4°			1 Sun 4° / -3°			2 Mon 4° / -2°			3 Tue 4° / -2°			4 Wed 2° / -3°			5 Thu -1° / -7°			6 Fri -4° / -9°			Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
	AM	PM	Night	AM	PM	Night	AM	PM	Night	AM	PM	Night	AM	PM	Night	AM	PM	Night	AM	PM	Night	7 Sat	8 Sun	9 Mon	10 Tue	11 Wed	12 Thu	13 Fri
Conditions	☁️	☁️	⛅	⛅	🌧️	☁️	☀️	🌧️	🌤️	🌧️	🌧️	☀️	☁️	🌧️	☁️	🌧️	🌧️	🌧️	❄️	🌧️	☁️	☁️	❄️	🌤️	☁️	❄️	🌤️	☀️
	cloudy	cloudy	some clouds	some clouds	light drizzle	cloudy	clear	light drizzle	mostly clear	light drizzle	light drizzle	clear	cloudy	light drizzle	cloudy	light drizzle	drizzle	light drizzle	light snow	light drizzle	cloudy	cloudy	light snow	mostly clear	cloudy	light snow	mostly clear	clear
Mid-mountain2,663 mModeled
Temp°C	0°	4°	0°	2°	5°	1°	2°	6°	2°	2°	6°	1°	2°	5°	1°	1°	1°	0°	-2°	0°	-2°	-3°	-5°	-6°	-4°	-4°	-3°	-2°
Feels like°C	-2°	0°	-3°	0°	2°	-1°	1°	3°	-1°	0°	2°	-1°	-2°	-1°	-2°	-3°	-3°	-4°	-7°	-5°	-6°	-7°	-9°	-10°	-11°	-9°	-8°	-8°
Snowcm	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	1.6	0.5	2.4	0.4	0.4	0.6	0.8	0.6	·	0.1	1	0.7	2.6
Precipmm	·	0.2	·	·	0.1	·	·	0.4	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.1	0.1	0.7	0.3	2.9	2.9	3.6	0.5	0.6	0.9	1.1	0.5	·	·	1.1	0.9	3.8
Windkm/h	7	10	4	8	8	2	3	7	2	7	10	3	13	15	9	13	7	9	3	5	3	8	10	9	13	9	3	2
Summit3,125 mModeled
Temp°C	-3°	1°	-3°	-1°	2°	-2°	-1°	3°	-1°	-1°	3°	-2°	-1°	2°	-2°	-2°	-2°	-3°	-5°	-3°	-5°	-6°	-8°	-9°	-7°	-7°	-6°	-5°
Feels like°C	-6°	-4°	-6°	-4°	-1°	-5°	-3°	0°	-4°	-3°	-1°	-5°	-5°	-4°	-6°	-6°	-7°	-8°	-10°	-9°	-10°	-10°	-12°	-13°	-14°	-12°	-12°	-11°
Snowcm	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	0.1	0.1	·	0.1	·	·	0.2	1.9	1.9	2.6	0.5	0.4	0.7	1	0.6	·	0.1	1.1	0.7	3.1
Precipmm	·	0.2	·	·	0.1	·	·	0.4	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.1	0.1	0.7	0.3	2.9	2.9	3.6	0.5	0.6	0.9	1.1	0.5	·	·	1.1	0.9	3.8
Windkm/h	7	10	4	8	8	2	3	7	2	7	10	3	13	15	9	13	7	9	3	5	3	8	10	9	13	9	3	2
Base2,200 mModeled
Temp°C	4°	7°	3°	5°	8°	4°	5°	9°	5°	5°	9°	4°	5°	8°	4°	4°	5°	3°	1°	3°	1°	0°	-2°	-2°	-1°	0°	0°	1°
Feels like°C	1°	3°	1°	3°	6°	2°	4°	7°	3°	4°	5°	2°	2°	3°	1°	1°	0°	-1°	-4°	-2°	-3°	-3°	-6°	-7°	-8°	-6°	-5°	-5°
Snowcm	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	0.1	0.2	·	0.5	0.6	0.3	·	0.1	0.8	0.2	0.5
Precipmm	·	0.2	·	·	0.1	·	·	0.3	0.1	0.2	0.3	·	0.1	0.7	0.3	2.4	2.1	3.7	0.5	0.6	0.8	0.9	0.1	·	·	1.1	·	3.6
Windkm/h	7	10	4	8	8	2	3	7	2	7	10	3	13	15	9	13	7	9	3	5	3	8	10	9	13	9	3	2
Humidity%	87	74	93	81	56	85	74	60	86	84	70	88	89	85	97	96	96	98	93	84	93	83	82	72	81	87	70	59
0°C linem	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	2,250	1,800	1,800	2,050	2,150	2,300	2,350
Sunhours																						9	7.6	9.3	9.4	7.8	9.6	9.8

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Palandöken, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Palandöken (alps), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Caucasus & Eastern Turkey region

14 Day map is in SnowSure ProUnlock with Pro

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Palandöken El Niño rank & forecast

Palandöken ranks #134 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier B, +6% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier B — Favored: Modest El Niño upside (+3% to +8% vs normal). Often a solid pick, without the biggest Andes-style swings.

#134 of 488Tier B — Favored

Strong-event signal: +6% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Palandöken averaged +6% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically been a friend here. With a record-strength event forecast for winter 2026-27, Palandöken sits on the favorable side of the ledger. Analog winters: '97-98 -21%, '15-16 -24%, '23-24 +63%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 −21%'15-16 −24%'23-24 +63%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

Key

What the tiers mean

% vs each resort's own 30-year average in strong El Niño winters.

Tier	Signal	Means
A — Prime terrain	≥ +8%	Historically much snowier than normal.
B — Favored	+3% to +8%	Modest upside vs normal.
C — ENSO-proof	about −3% to +3%	Near-normal snowfall — a hedge, not a jackpot or bust.
D — Late bloomer	−3% to −8%	Often lighter early — aim Feb–Mar.
E — Timing play	≤ −8%	Often lighter overall — aim late winter.

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Palandöken, ERA5 season snowfall median was 245 cm (96 in), about 2% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JAS 2026 · ANOM +2.16°C

Analog season median

245cm

10 El Niño winters · 2% below median

All-season median

250cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

Phase	Seasons	Median	p25–p75	Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent	10	245cm	226cm – 326cm	2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña	12	233cm	196cm – 291cm	2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral	8	255cm	233cm – 277cm	2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

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