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Nakiska ski resort
Epic PassView resorts
Tier D — Late bloomer — aim Feb–Mar

North America

Nakiska Snow Forecast

Projected to open November 7, 2026

Best months to book: April, March, February · last season + 30-yr record

Projected to open Nov 7

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

Oct 30

today

Past 24 Hours

0cm

Past 48 Hours

3cm

Past 10 Days

17cm

7-Day Forecast

1cm

Snow Depth

--

Updated: Oct 30, 11:04 PM•Weather at base: 1,525m
SnowSure™ Score2025-26 season
Projected to open Nov 7

Nakiska is projected to open November 7, 2026. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: April, March, February. Best weeks: 29 Mar–4 Apr, 22 Mar–28 Mar, 8 Mar–14 Mar.NovDecJan3Feb2Mar1AprOpens 7 NovCloses 19 Apr

Best months to book

  1. #1April35cm avg · last season 28.1
  2. #2March31cm avg · last season 30.7
  3. #3February19cm avg · last season 27

Best weeks to book

  1. #1 29 Mar – 4 Apr · last season 34.3
  2. #2 22 Mar – 28 Mar · last season 36
  3. #3 8 Mar – 14 Mar · last season 34.9

Ranked on 25% last season's SnowSure score (2025-26) · 75% 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

Updated Oct 30 at 11:04 PM

25cm
Season
17cm
Past 10 days48H 3cm · 24H 0cm
0cm
Today
1cm
Next 6 days
Days 8–14 · Pro
3
4
4
1
3
Seasontotal
3
Wed28
Thu29
14 daystotal
—
—
0
—
—
—
0
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
TueOct 20
Wed21
Thu22
Fri23
Sat24
Sun25
Mon26
Tue27
TODAY30
Sat31
SunNov 1
Mon2
Tue3
Wed4
Thu5
Fri6
Sat7
Sun8
Mon9
Tue10
Wed11
Thu12
Freezing line
Snow qualityLight· bestAverage· okayHeavy· wet, skis heavy

Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro

No measurement at mid height (1,892m) reached us: past snow shown is the model's estimate at the summit.

Hourly Forecast

30 Fri
0° / -16°
31 Sat
2° / -14°
1 Sun
1° / -16°
2 Mon
2° / -17°
3 Tue
2° / -9°
4 Wed
3° / -13°
5 Thu
1° / -11°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight6 Fri7 Sat8 Sun9 Mon10 Tue11 Wed12 Thu
Conditions☁️☀️⛅🌤️☀️☁️☁️⛅☀️☁️☀️☁️☁️☁️☁️🌤️☀️☀️☁️☁️❄️
cloudyclearsome cloudsmostly clearclearcloudycloudysome cloudsclearcloudyclearcloudycloudycloudycloudymostly clearclearclearcloudycloudysnow
Mid-mountain1,892 mModeled
Temp°C-8°0°-6°-3°4°-3°-4°3°-3°-5°4°-3°-1°4°-1°-3°4°-2°-1°3°-2°
Feels like°C-15°-3°-14°-13°-1°-13°-13°-1°-12°-17°-1°-13°-8°0°-7°-12°0°-9°-9°-2°-8°
Snowcm······0.1·············0.5
Precipmm······0.1·············0.7
Windkm/h524655434656646445876
Summit2,258 mModeled
Temp°C-10°-2°-8°-6°1°-5°-6°1°-6°-7°2°-6°-3°1°-3°-6°1°-5°-4°0°-5°
Feels like°C-17°-6°-16°-16°-3°-15°-15°-3°-15°-19°-4°-15°-10°-3°-10°-14°-2°-11°-11°-5°-11°
Snowcm······0.1·············0.5
Precipmm······0.2·············0.7
Windkm/h524655434656646445876
Base1,525 mModeled
Temp°C-6°3°-4°-2°6°-1°-1°6°-1°-3°6°-1°2°6°1°-2°6°0°0°5°0°
Feels like°C-12°-1°-11°-11°2°-10°-10°2°-10°-14°1°-10°-5°3°-5°-9°3°-6°-6°0°-5°
Snowcm····················0.2
Precipmm····················0.7
Windkm/h524655434656646445876
Humidity%866088875487885686855186785380875485827589
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Nakiska, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Nakiska (rockies), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Pacific Northwest & BC region

14 Day map is in SnowSure ProUnlock with Pro

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Nakiska El Niño rank & forecast

Nakiska ranks #305 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier D, −7% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier D — Late bloomer — aim Feb–Mar: Often a bit lighter early (−3% to −8% vs normal). History favors waiting for peak-depth months (often Feb–Mar) rather than skipping the resort.

#305 of 488Tier D — Late bloomer — aim Feb–Mar

Strong-event signal: −7% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Nakiska averaged -6% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. Historically this is a timing play rather than a reason to stay home: aim for late winter (February–March) in winter 2026-27. Analog winters: '97-98 -25%, '15-16 -15%, '23-24 +21%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 −25%'15-16 −15%'23-24 +21%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Nakiska, ERA5 season snowfall median was 221 cm (87 in), about 3% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JAS 2026 · ANOM +2.16°C

Analog season median

221cm

10 El Niño winters · 3% below median

All-season median

227cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10221cm200cm – 238cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12215cm195cm – 235cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8249cm231cm – 270cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about Nakiska

How much snow is Nakiska getting this week?
The SnowSure™ blend forecasts about 1 cm (0 in) of snow at Nakiska over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Nakiska?
The full 14-day forecast for Nakiska — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Nakiska?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.