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Mt. Hood Meadows ski resort
Tier D — Late bloomer — aim Feb–Mar

North America

Mt. Hood Meadows Snow Forecast

Opens December 4, 2026

Best months to book: February, March, January · last season + 30-yr record

Opens Dec 4

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

Oct 28

2d ago

Past 24 Hours

0cm

Past 48 Hours

4cm

Past 10 Days

7cm

7-Day Forecast

4cm

Snow Depth

--

❄ Dense, settled
Updated: Oct 30, 10:05 PM•Weather at base: 1,372m
SnowSure™ Score2025-26 season
Opens Dec 4

Mt. Hood Meadows opens December 4, 2026. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: February, March, January. Best weeks: 8 Mar–14 Mar, 22 Feb–28 Feb, 1 Mar–7 Mar.Dec3Jan1Feb2MarAprOpens 4 DecCloses 12 Apr

Best months to book

  1. #1February86cm avg · last season 46.7
  2. #2March77cm avg · last season 38.8
  3. #3January99cm avg

Best weeks to book

  1. #1 8 Mar – 14 Mar · last season 56.4
  2. #2 22 Feb – 28 Feb · last season 46.7
  3. #3 1 Mar – 7 Mar · last season 40

Ranked on 25% last season's SnowSure score (2025-26) · 75% 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

Updated Oct 30 at 10:05 PM

21cm
Season
20cm
Past 10 days48H 13cm · 24H 0cm
1cm
Today
3cm
Next 6 days
Days 8–14 · Pro
3
5
Seasontotal
13
Wed28
Thu29
14 daystotal
1
0
0
—
—
0
2
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
TueOct 20
Wed21
Thu22
Fri23
Sat24
Sun25
Mon26
Tue27
TODAY30
Sat31
SunNov 1
Mon2
Tue3
Wed4
Thu5
Fri6
Sat7
Sun8
Mon9
Tue10
Wed11
Thu12
Freezing line
Snow qualityLight· bestAverage· okayHeavy· wet, skis heavy

Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro

Past snow measured by Mt Hood Test Site SNOTEL at 1,640 m (5,380 ft), mid height.

Hourly Forecast

30 Fri
-2° / -6°
31 Sat
0° / -8°
1 Sun
1° / -7°
2 Mon
2° / -8°
3 Tue
5° / -5°
4 Wed
4° / -6°
5 Thu
-1° / -7°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight6 Fri7 Sat8 Sun9 Mon10 Tue11 Wed12 Thu
Conditions☁️🌧️☀️⛅☁️☀️☀️☀️☀️☁️☁️☁️☁️☁️☁️☀️☁️☀️🌧️☁️☀️
cloudylight drizzleclearsome cloudscloudyclearclearclearclearcloudycloudycloudycloudycloudycloudyclearcloudyclearlight drizzlecloudyclear
Mid-mountain1,799 mModeled
Temp°C-2°0°-3°-3°1°-3°-2°2°-2°-1°4°-1°1°5°0°0°4°0°0°3°0°
Feels like°C-7°-4°-6°-7°-2°-8°-5°-1°-7°-4°0°-5°-3°3°-3°-3°3°-4°-4°-3°-4°
Snowcm0.40.6·0.2·0.4··0.3········0.40.7·1.8
Precipmm0.50.90.10.20.30.60.1·0.4······0.10.40.91.51.23.2
Windkm/h13881311739312109146925311105
Summit2,225 mModeled
Temp°C-4°-3°-6°-5°-1°-6°-4°-1°-5°-3°1°-4°-2°2°-2°-3°1°-3°-2°0°-2°
Feels like°C-10°-7°-10°-10°-5°-11°-8°-4°-10°-7°-3°-8°-6°0°-7°-6°-1°-7°-7°-6°-7°
Snowcm0.60.60.20.40.20.6··0.3·····0.1·0.20.710.82.1
Precipmm0.80.90.10.40.30.60.1·0.4······0.10.40.91.51.23.2
Windkm/h13881311739312109146925311105
Base1,372 mModeled
Temp°C1°3°0°1°5°0°1°5°0°3°7°2°4°8°3°3°7°2°3°6°3°
Feels like°C-4°-1°-3°-4°1°-5°-1°2°-4°-1°3°-1°1°6°0°0°6°-1°-1°0°-1°
Snowcm0.1····0.3··0.2···········0.3
Precipmm0.20.4·0.10.10.60.1·0.3······0.10.40.81.21.03.1
Windkm/h13881311739312109146925311105
Humidity%957791896890847288756272746285725180929074
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Mt. Hood Meadows, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Mt. Hood Meadows (cascades), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Pacific Northwest & BC region

14 Day map is in SnowSure ProUnlock with Pro

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Mt. Hood Meadows El Niño rank & forecast

Mt. Hood Meadows ranks #323 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier D, −8% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier D — Late bloomer — aim Feb–Mar: Often a bit lighter early (−3% to −8% vs normal). History favors waiting for peak-depth months (often Feb–Mar) rather than skipping the resort.

#323 of 488Tier D — Late bloomer — aim Feb–Mar

Strong-event signal: −8% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Mt. Hood Meadows averaged -8% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. Not a warning — a scheduling note. El Niño winters here tend to start slower and reward the late-winter core, when the base peaks and the El Niño headlines have pushed the crowds elsewhere. Aim February–March for winter 2026-27. Analog winters: '97-98 -40%, '15-16 -35%, '23-24 +52%.

'97-98 −40%'15-16 −35%'23-24 +52%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Mt. Hood Meadows, ERA5 season snowfall median was 320 cm (126 in), about 32% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JAS 2026 · ANOM +2.16°C

Analog season median

320cm

10 El Niño winters · 32% below median

All-season median

467cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10320cm303cm – 551cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12510cm428cm – 764cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8484cm399cm – 577cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about Mt. Hood Meadows

How much snow is Mt. Hood Meadows getting this week?
The SnowSure™ blend forecasts about 4 cm (2 in) of snow at Mt. Hood Meadows over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Mt. Hood Meadows?
The full 14-day forecast for Mt. Hood Meadows — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Mt. Hood Meadows?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.