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Montage Mountain Ski Resort ski resort
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Tier E — Deep timing play — aim late winter

North America

Montage Mountain Ski Resort Snow Forecast

Projected to open Dec 6

Projected to open December 6, 2026

Best months to book: February, January, March · 30-yr snow record

Projected to open Dec 6

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

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Past 24 Hours

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Past 48 Hours

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Past 10 Days

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7-Day Forecast

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Snow Depth

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Updated: Oct 30, 10:05 PM•Weather at base: 293m
SnowSure™ ScoreWhen to book
Projected to open Dec 6

Montage Mountain Ski Resort is projected to open December 6, 2026. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: February, January, March.NovDec2Jan1Feb3MarAprMay

Best months to book

  1. #1February23cm avg
  2. #2January24cm avg
  3. #3March19cm avg

Ranked on 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

Updated Oct 30 at 10:05 PM

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Season
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Past 10 days48H 0cm · 24H 0cm
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Today
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Next 6 days
Days 8–14 · Pro
Seasontotal
Wed28
Thu29
14 daystotal
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TueOct 20
Wed21
Thu22
Fri23
Sat24
Sun25
Mon26
Tue27
TODAY30
Sat31
SunNov 1
Mon2
Tue3
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Sat7
Sun8
Mon9
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Wed11
Thu12
Freezing line

Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro

No measurement at mid height (445m) reached us: past snow shown is the model's estimate at the summit.

Hourly Forecast

30 Fri
12° / 6°
31 Sat
10° / 3°
1 Sun
13° / 2°
2 Mon
17° / 5°
3 Tue
19° / 7°
4 Wed
16° / 8°
5 Thu
16° / 12°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight6 Fri7 Sat8 Sun9 Mon10 Tue11 Wed12 Thu
Conditions🌤️⛅🌤️⛅⛅⛅☁️☁️☁️⛅☀️🌤️☁️☁️☁️⛅☁️☁️☁️🌧️☁️
mostly clearsome cloudsmostly clearsome cloudssome cloudssome cloudscloudycloudycloudysome cloudsclearmostly clearcloudycloudycloudysome cloudscloudycloudycloudydrizzlecloudy
Mid-mountain445 mModeled
Temp°C12°12°10°5°10°6°5°13°6°8°15°9°10°17°11°11°17°12°14°17°15°
Feels like°C9°7°7°2°6°3°3°11°4°6°14°7°9°16°9°9°15°10°12°15°14°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm··············0.1··0.13.93.54.5
Windkm/h12211312129155998576111410151914
Summit597 mModeled
Temp°C11°11°9°4°9°5°4°12°5°7°14°8°9°16°10°10°16°11°13°16°14°
Feels like°C7°6°6°1°5°1°2°9°2°4°13°5°7°15°8°8°13°8°11°14°13°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm··············0.1··0.14.03.64.6
Windkm/h12211312129155998576111410151914
Base293 mModeled
Temp°C12°13°11°6°11°7°5°14°7°9°16°10°11°18°12°12°18°13°15°18°16°
Feels like°C10°9°8°3°7°4°4°12°5°7°15°8°10°17°10°10°16°11°13°17°15°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm··············0.1··0.13.93.44.5
Windkm/h12211312129155998576111410151914
Humidity%825573725075774676754673613466927587929795
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Montage Mountain Ski Resort, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Montage Mountain Ski Resort (east coast), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Mid-Atlantic & Appalachians region

14 Day map is in SnowSure ProUnlock with Pro

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Montage Mountain Ski Resort El Niño rank & forecast

Montage Mountain Ski Resort ranks #467 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier E, −23% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier E — Deep timing play — aim late winter: Strong El Niño winters ran clearly below this resort’s own baseline (≤ −8%). Still skiable — schedule late season; one storm cycle can beat the climatology.

#467 of 488Tier E — Deep timing play — aim late winter

Strong-event signal: −23% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Montage Mountain Ski Resort averaged -23% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. Historically this is a timing play rather than a reason to stay home: aim for late winter (February–March) in winter 2026-27. Analog winters: '97-98 +22%, '15-16 -66%, '23-24 -26%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 +22%'15-16 −66%'23-24 −26%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Montage Mountain Ski Resort, ERA5 season snowfall median was 106 cm (42 in), about 11% above this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JAS 2026 · ANOM +2.16°C

Analog season median

106cm

10 El Niño winters · 11% above median

All-season median

96cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10106cm78cm – 115cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña1286cm76cm – 106cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral896cm82cm – 127cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

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Frequently asked questions about Montage Mountain Ski Resort

How much snow is Montage Mountain Ski Resort getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at Montage Mountain Ski Resort over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Montage Mountain Ski Resort?
The full 14-day forecast for Montage Mountain Ski Resort — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Montage Mountain Ski Resort?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.