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Matterhorn Ski Paradise ski resort
Ikon PassView resorts
Tier B — Favored

Europe

Matterhorn Ski Paradise Snow Forecast

31

Solid

→stable

Last Snowfall

Oct 28

2d ago

Past 24 Hours

0cm

Past 48 Hours

0cm

Past 10 Days

52cm

7-Day Forecast

4cm

Snow Depth

6cm

Weather station · mid
Updated: Oct 30, 9:00 PM•Weather at base: 1,562m
SnowSure™ ScoreAI
31
Solid
→stable

Adequate snow - check forecasts before booking.

Currently, Matterhorn Ski Paradise has clear skies and a temperature of -19°C with an estimated snow depth of 31cm. Over the past week, there has been 15cm of new snowfall, contributing to a season total of 70cm, which is 93% of the 5-year average for this time of year.

AI-generated summary
—

Depth

6.2cm depth — adequate for most conditions.

↓

Recent

No new snow has fallen in the last 24 or 48 hours, but 15cm was recorded in the past week.

↓

Forecast

4cm in the next 7 days.

—

Historic

This season's snow total of 70cm is slightly below the 5-year average of 75cm for this date.

Data updated Fri, Oct 30, 09:00 PM UTC

Snow Summary

Updated Oct 30 at 9:00 PM

70cm
Season
52cm
Past 10 days48H 0cm · 24H 0cm
0cm
Today
4cm
Next 6 days
Days 8–14 · Pro
21
18
1
3
4
6
0
Seasontotal
0
Wed28
Thu29
14 daystotal
—
—
0
—
1
2
1
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
TueOct 20
Wed21
Thu22
Fri23
Sat24
Sun25
Mon26
Tue27
TODAY30
Sat31
SunNov 1
Mon2
Tue3
Wed4
Thu5
Fri6
Sat7
Sun8
Mon9
Tue10
Wed11
Thu12
Freezing line
Snow qualityLight· bestAverage· okayHeavy· wet, skis heavy

Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro

No measurement at mid height (2,723m) reached us: past snow shown is the model's estimate at the summit.

Hourly Forecast

30 Fri
-7° / -18°
31 Sat
-7° / -20°
1 Sun
-13° / -28°
2 Mon
-10° / -29°
3 Tue
-11° / -22°
4 Wed
-12° / -24°
5 Thu
-11° / -24°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight6 Fri7 Sat8 Sun9 Mon10 Tue11 Wed12 Thu
Conditions☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️⛅⛅☁️⛅☁️☁️
clearclearclearclearclearclearclearclearclearclearclearclearclearclearclearsome cloudssome cloudscloudysome cloudscloudycloudy
Mid-mountain2,723 mModeled
Temp°C-2°0°-3°-3°0°-4°-5°-5°-6°-6°-2°-8°-6°-3°-6°-7°-4°-7°-7°-4°-7°
Feels like°C-10°-4°-12°-12°-5°-14°-14°-10°-17°-16°-8°-19°-15°-8°-16°-17°-8°-16°-17°-8°-15°
Snowcm·············0.10.50.30.70.80.10.30.8
Precipmm·············0.20.50.30.90.90.20.40.8
Windkm/h212222433212111131251
Summit3,883 mModeled
Temp°C-9°-8°-11°-10°-7°-10°-12°-13°-14°-14°-10°-16°-14°-11°-15°-14°-12°-14°-15°-11°-14°
Feels like°C-18°-12°-20°-20°-13°-22°-22°-18°-25°-23°-16°-26°-23°-16°-24°-25°-16°-23°-25°-17°-23°
Snowcm·············0.20.80.311.20.20.40.8
Precipmm·············0.20.80.31.01.20.20.40.8
Windkm/h212222433212111131251
Base1,562 mModeled
Temp°C6°8°5°5°8°4°3°3°2°2°6°1°3°5°1°2°4°1°2°3°1°
Feels like°C3°6°2°2°8°0°0°-1°-2°-2°2°-4°-1°1°-4°-1°1°-4°-1°0°-3°
Snowcm·······0.10.2······0.1·0.2··0.4
Precipmm·······0.30.3·····0.30.20.40.80.20.50.9
Windkm/h362252573252362152232
Humidity%685972584668665768263547806687878790867486
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Matterhorn Ski Paradise, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Matterhorn Ski Paradise (alps), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

The Alps region

14 Day map is in SnowSure ProUnlock with Pro

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Matterhorn Ski Paradise El Niño rank & forecast

Matterhorn Ski Paradise ranks Under review SnowSure resorts — Tier B, +6% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier B — Favored: Modest El Niño upside (+3% to +8% vs normal). Often a solid pick, without the biggest Andes-style swings.

Under reviewTier B — Favored

Strong-event signal: +6% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

This resort carries no separate rank: its 30-year record is identical to cervinia, which is the ranked entry for this measurement. At ~31km resolution the reanalysis cannot resolve them as different mountains, so publishing both would be publishing one number twice.

'97-98 −13%'15-16 −2%'23-24 +33%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Matterhorn Ski Paradise, ERA5 season snowfall median was 638 cm (251 in), about 3% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JAS 2026 · ANOM +2.16°C

Analog season median

638cm

10 El Niño winters · 3% below median

All-season median

657cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10638cm563cm – 782cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12616cm532cm – 758cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8708cm642cm – 737cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about Matterhorn Ski Paradise

How much snow is Matterhorn Ski Paradise getting this week?
The SnowSure™ blend forecasts about 4 cm (2 in) of snow at Matterhorn Ski Paradise over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Matterhorn Ski Paradise?
The full 14-day forecast for Matterhorn Ski Paradise — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Matterhorn Ski Paradise?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.