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Marmolada ski resort
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Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

Europe

Marmolada Snow Forecast

Projected to open Nov 28

Projected to open November 28, 2026

Best months to book: March, February, April · 30-yr snow record

Projected to open Nov 28

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

Oct 25

6d ago

Past 24 Hours

0cm

Past 48 Hours

0cm

Past 10 Days

9cm

7-Day Forecast

4cm

Snow Depth

--

Updated: Oct 31, 1:00 AM•Weather at base: 1,446m
SnowSure™ ScoreWhen to book
Projected to open Nov 28

Marmolada is projected to open November 28, 2026. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: March, February, April.NovDecJan2Feb1Mar3AprMay

Best months to book

  1. #1March41cm avg
  2. #2February35cm avg
  3. #3April42cm avg

Ranked on 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

Updated Oct 31 at 1:00 AM

13cm
Season
9cm
Past 10 days48H 0cm · 24H 0cm
0cm
Today
4cm
Next 6 days
Days 8–14 · Pro
4
0
4
0
1
Seasontotal
Thu29
Fri30
14 daystotal
—
0
—
0
0
0
3
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
WedOct 21
Thu22
Fri23
Sat24
Sun25
Mon26
Tue27
Wed28
TODAY31
SunNov 1
Mon2
Tue3
Wed4
Thu5
Fri6
Sat7
Sun8
Mon9
Tue10
Wed11
Thu12
Fri13
Freezing line
Snow qualityLight· bestAverage· okayHeavy· wet, skis heavy

Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro

No measurement at mid height (2,395m) reached us: past snow shown is the model's estimate at the summit.

Hourly Forecast

31 Sat
-3° / -12°
1 Sun
-9° / -17°
2 Mon
-5° / -15°
3 Tue
-5° / -12°
4 Wed
-6° / -11°
5 Thu
-5° / -13°
6 Fri
-5° / -12°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight7 Sat8 Sun9 Mon10 Tue11 Wed12 Thu13 Fri
Conditions☀️☀️☀️🌤️❄️☀️⛅☁️☁️☁️☁️☁️❄️❄️❄️☀️🌤️☀️☀️🌤️☀️
clearclearclearmostly clearlight snowclearsome cloudscloudycloudycloudycloudycloudylight snowlight snowlight snowclearmostly clearclearclearmostly clearclear
Mid-mountain2,395 mModeled
Temp°C-1°2°-3°-6°-4°-7°-4°0°-5°-2°0°-4°-3°-1°-3°-3°0°-4°-3°0°-5°
Feels like°C-5°-3°-8°-12°-9°-12°-8°-4°-10°-6°-3°-8°-5°-4°-7°-8°-4°-9°-7°-3°-8°
Snowcm····0.2······0.20.10.10.2···0.41.51.4
Precipmm····0.2·····0.10.20.10.20.3···0.52.21.9
Windkm/h48210126545323122122111
Summit3,343 mModeled
Temp°C-7°-5°-9°-13°-11°-13°-10°-7°-11°-9°-6°-10°-9°-7°-9°-10°-6°-10°-9°-6°-11°
Feels like°C-11°-9°-14°-19°-16°-19°-14°-10°-17°-13°-10°-15°-12°-11°-13°-14°-10°-15°-14°-10°-15°
Snowcm····0.2·····0.10.20.10.20.3···0.52.11.9
Precipmm····0.2·····0.10.20.10.20.3···0.52.21.9
Windkm/h48210126545323122122111
Base1,446 mModeled
Temp°C5°8°2°0°2°-1°3°6°1°4°6°2°3°5°3°3°6°2°3°6°2°
Feels like°C2°4°-1°-6°-3°-6°-1°3°-3°1°4°-2°2°3°0°-1°3°-2°0°4°-1°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm····0.1·····0.10.20.10.20.3···0.52.21.9
Windkm/h48210126545323122122111
Humidity%604273745587636082776384817691866594705581
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Marmolada, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Marmolada (alps), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

The Alps region

14 Day map is in SnowSure ProUnlock with Pro

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Marmolada El Niño rank & forecast

Marmolada ranks Under review SnowSure resorts — Tier A, +12% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain: Historically snowed much more than normal in strong El Niño winters (≥ +8% vs this resort’s own 30-year average).

Under reviewTier A — Prime El Niño terrain

Strong-event signal: +12% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

This resort carries no separate rank: its 30-year record is identical to arabba, which is the ranked entry for this measurement. At ~31km resolution the reanalysis cannot resolve them as different mountains, so publishing both would be publishing one number twice.

'97-98 −20%'15-16 −20%'23-24 +75%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Marmolada, ERA5 season snowfall median was 240 cm (94 in), about 11% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JAS 2026 · ANOM +2.16°C

Analog season median

240cm

10 El Niño winters · 11% below median

All-season median

269cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10240cm180cm – 408cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12294cm229cm – 398cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8285cm208cm – 329cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about Marmolada

How much snow is Marmolada getting this week?
The SnowSure™ blend forecasts about 4 cm (2 in) of snow at Marmolada over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Marmolada?
The full 14-day forecast for Marmolada — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Marmolada?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.