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Madonna di Campiglio ski resort
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Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

Europe

Madonna di Campiglio Snow Forecast

Projected to open November 21, 2026

Best months to book: March, February, April · last season + 30-yr record

Projected to open Nov 21

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

Oct 25

5d ago

Past 24 Hours

0cm

Past 48 Hours

0cm

Past 10 Days

8cm

7-Day Forecast

4cm

Snow Depth

--

Updated: Oct 30, 9:07 PM•Weather at base: 1,522m
SnowSure™ Score2025-26 season
Projected to open Nov 21

Madonna di Campiglio is projected to open November 21, 2026. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: March, February, April. Best weeks: 15 Mar–21 Mar, 22 Mar–28 Mar, 8 Mar–14 Mar.NovDecJan2Feb1Mar3AprOpens 21 NovCloses 12 Apr

Best months to book

  1. #1March52cm avg · last season 33.1
  2. #2February45cm avg · last season 26.9
  3. #3April50cm avg · last season 21.2

Best weeks to book

  1. #1 15 Mar – 21 Mar · last season 45.1
  2. #2 22 Mar – 28 Mar · last season 30.5
  3. #3 8 Mar – 14 Mar · last season 30

Ranked on 25% last season's SnowSure score (2025-26) · 75% 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

Updated Oct 30 at 9:07 PM

8cm
Season
8cm
Past 10 days48H 0cm · 24H 0cm
0cm
Today
4cm
Next 6 days
Days 8–14 · Pro
1
3
3
0
0
Seasontotal
Wed28
Thu29
14 daystotal
—
—
0
0
0
3
1
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
TueOct 20
Wed21
Thu22
Fri23
Sat24
Sun25
Mon26
Tue27
TODAY30
Sat31
SunNov 1
Mon2
Tue3
Wed4
Thu5
Fri6
Sat7
Sun8
Mon9
Tue10
Wed11
Thu12
Freezing line
Snow qualityLight· bestAverage· okayHeavy· wet, skis heavy

Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro

No measurement at mid height (2,014m) reached us: past snow shown is the model's estimate at the summit.

Hourly Forecast

30 Fri
3° / -8°
31 Sat
3° / -7°
1 Sun
-3° / -10°
2 Mon
0° / -11°
3 Tue
-1° / -8°
4 Wed
-1° / -6°
5 Thu
-1° / -9°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight6 Fri7 Sat8 Sun9 Mon10 Tue11 Wed12 Thu
Conditions☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️🌤️☀️☀️☀️☀️🌤️⛅☁️☀️☁️⛅❄️☁️🌤️☀️
clearclearclearclearclearclearmostly clearclearclearclearclearmostly clearsome cloudscloudyclearcloudysome cloudslight snowcloudymostly clearclear
Mid-mountain2,014 mModeled
Temp°C1°5°0°2°5°0°-2°-1°-3°-1°3°-2°0°3°-1°-1°1°-1°-1°1°-2°
Feels like°C-4°1°-6°-3°2°-6°-6°-5°-8°-6°-1°-9°-5°-2°-6°-4°-2°-5°-4°-2°-5°
Snowcm······0.10.10.2··0.1··0.10.50.31.10.1·0.5
Precipmm······0.10.10.2··0.1··0.20.80.81.60.1·0.8
Windkm/h231232581342242131221
Summit2,505 mModeled
Temp°C-2°1°-3°-1°2°-3°-5°-4°-6°-4°-1°-6°-3°-1°-4°-4°-2°-4°-4°-2°-5°
Feels like°C-7°-2°-10°-7°-2°-9°-10°-9°-12°-9°-5°-12°-8°-5°-10°-7°-5°-8°-7°-6°-9°
Snowcm······0.10.10.2··0.1··0.20.60.61.20.1·0.7
Precipmm······0.10.10.2··0.2··0.20.80.81.70.1·0.8
Windkm/h231232581342242131221
Base1,522 mModeled
Temp°C4°8°2°4°8°2°1°3°-1°2°6°0°2°5°1°2°4°1°2°4°1°
Feels like°C0°5°-3°0°6°-3°-3°-2°-5°-3°2°-5°-1°2°-3°0°2°-1°0°1°-2°
Snowcm········0.2······0.30.110.1·0.6
Precipmm······0.1·0.2·····0.11.01.12.00.2·1.0
Windkm/h231232581342242131221
Humidity%764881575068574665515373626177797489947795
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Madonna di Campiglio, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Madonna di Campiglio (alps), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

The Alps region

14 Day map is in SnowSure ProUnlock with Pro

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Madonna di Campiglio El Niño rank & forecast

Madonna di Campiglio ranks #36 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier A, +14% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain: Historically snowed much more than normal in strong El Niño winters (≥ +8% vs this resort’s own 30-year average).

#36 of 488Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

Strong-event signal: +14% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Madonna di Campiglio averaged +14% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline — one of the strongest positive El Niño signals we track. With NOAA forecasting a potentially record event for winter 2026-27, history says this is the winter to book Madonna di Campiglio with confidence. Individual analog winters: '97-98 -15%, '15-16 -18%, '23-24 +76%. A lean, not a law — but the lean is firmly up.

'97-98 −15%'15-16 −19%'23-24 +76%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Madonna di Campiglio, ERA5 season snowfall median was 299 cm (118 in), about 2% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JAS 2026 · ANOM +2.16°C

Analog season median

299cm

10 El Niño winters · 2% below median

All-season median

304cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10299cm274cm – 433cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12306cm274cm – 489cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8347cm276cm – 431cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

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Frequently asked questions about Madonna di Campiglio

How much snow is Madonna di Campiglio getting this week?
The SnowSure™ blend forecasts about 4 cm (2 in) of snow at Madonna di Campiglio over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Madonna di Campiglio?
The full 14-day forecast for Madonna di Campiglio — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Madonna di Campiglio?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.