Skip to main content
Lake Louise ski resort
Ikon PassView resortsMountain CollectiveView resorts
Tier E — Deep timing play — aim late winter

North America

Lake Louise Snow Forecast

Opens November 1, 2026

Best months to book: March, January, April · last season + 30-yr record

Opens Nov 1

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

Oct 30

today

Past 24 Hours

0cm

Resort reported

Past 48 Hours

3cm

Past 10 Days

10cm

7-Day Forecast

1cm

Snow Depth

--

Updated: Oct 30, 10:04 PM•Weather at base: 1,646m
SnowSure™ Score2025-26 season
Opens Nov 1

Lake Louise opens November 1, 2026. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: March, January, April. Best weeks: 15 Mar–21 Mar, 8 Mar–14 Mar, 22 Mar–28 Mar.NovDec2JanFeb1Mar3AprMayOpens 1 NovCloses 3 May

Best months to book

  1. #1March42cm avg · last season 45.2
  2. #2January37cm avg
  3. #3April35cm avg · last season 29.2

Best weeks to book

  1. #1 15 Mar – 21 Mar · last season 49.4
  2. #2 8 Mar – 14 Mar · last season 48.7
  3. #3 22 Mar – 28 Mar · last season 47.8

Ranked on 25% last season's SnowSure score (2025-26) · 75% 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

Updated Oct 30 at 10:04 PM

13cm
Season
10cm
Past 10 days48H 3cm · 24H 0cm
0cm
Today
1cm
Next 6 days
Days 8–14 · Pro
2
1
3
0
1
Seasontotal
3
Wed28
Thu29
14 daystotal
—
—
—
—
—
0
1
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
TueOct 20
Wed21
Thu22
Fri23
Sat24
Sun25
Mon26
Tue27
TODAY30
Sat31
SunNov 1
Mon2
Tue3
Wed4
Thu5
Fri6
Sat7
Sun8
Mon9
Tue10
Wed11
Thu12
Freezing line
Snow qualityLight· bestAverage· okayHeavy· wet, skis heavy

Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro

No measurement at mid height (2,142m) reached us: past snow shown is the model's estimate at the summit.

Hourly Forecast

30 Fri
-5° / -20°
31 Sat
-2° / -17°
1 Sun
-2° / -19°
2 Mon
-3° / -19°
3 Tue
-1° / -13°
4 Wed
0° / -15°
5 Thu
-3° / -14°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight6 Fri7 Sat8 Sun9 Mon10 Tue11 Wed12 Thu
Conditions☁️🌤️☁️☁️🌤️🌤️☁️⛅☀️☁️☁️☁️☁️☁️☁️☀️☀️☀️☁️❄️❄️
cloudymostly clearcloudycloudymostly clearmostly clearcloudysome cloudsclearcloudycloudycloudycloudycloudycloudyclearclearclearcloudylight snowsnow
Mid-mountain2,142 mModeled
Temp°C-11°-2°-8°-6°0°-6°-8°0°-6°-9°0°-7°-5°-1°-5°-6°1°-4°-4°-1°-4°
Feels like°C-19°-7°-16°-16°-4°-14°-18°-4°-15°-18°-5°-13°-11°-3°-10°-14°-1°-11°-10°-5°-10°
Snowcm···············0.10.10.1·0.60.5
Precipmm···············0.20.20.20.10.80.6
Windkm/h413222413221111221121
Summit2,637 mModeled
Temp°C-14°-5°-11°-10°-3°-9°-11°-3°-10°-12°-3°-10°-8°-4°-8°-9°-3°-8°-8°-4°-7°
Feels like°C-23°-11°-19°-19°-8°-17°-21°-8°-18°-21°-9°-17°-14°-7°-14°-17°-5°-15°-14°-9°-13°
Snowcm···············0.20.10.20.10.60.6
Precipmm···············0.20.20.20.10.80.6
Windkm/h413222413221111221121
Base1,646 mModeled
Temp°C-8°1°-5°-4°4°-3°-5°3°-3°-6°3°-3°-2°3°-2°-3°4°-1°-1°2°-1°
Feels like°C-16°-4°-13°-12°-1°-10°-15°-1°-11°-14°-2°-10°-7°0°-7°-11°2°-8°-7°-2°-6°
Snowcm···············0.1·0.1··0.3
Precipmm···············0.20.20.20.10.80.6
Windkm/h413222413221111221121
Humidity%856885886386856281855579704972704372767988
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Lake Louise, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Lake Louise (rockies), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Pacific Northwest & BC region

14 Day map is in SnowSure ProUnlock with Pro

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Lake Louise El Niño rank & forecast

Lake Louise ranks #410 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier E, −15% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier E — Deep timing play — aim late winter: Strong El Niño winters ran clearly below this resort’s own baseline (≤ −8%). Still skiable — schedule late season; one storm cycle can beat the climatology.

#410 of 488Tier E — Deep timing play — aim late winter

Strong-event signal: −15% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Lake Louise averaged -15% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The honest read: this is the fleet's deepest timing play. The snow still comes — it comes later and leaner, so point your winter 2026-27 trip at the historical late-winter peak, stay flexible on dates, and watch our monthly scorecard. Analog winters: '97-98 -22%, '15-16 -8%, '23-24 -15%. One caveat that always holds: a single storm cycle can beat the climatology.

'97-98 −22%'15-16 −8%'23-24 −15%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Lake Louise, ERA5 season snowfall median was 313 cm (123 in), about 6% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JAS 2026 · ANOM +2.16°C

Analog season median

313cm

10 El Niño winters · 6% below median

All-season median

334cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10313cm294cm – 323cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12345cm294cm – 359cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8363cm331cm – 368cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about Lake Louise

How much snow is Lake Louise getting this week?
The SnowSure™ blend forecasts about 1 cm (0 in) of snow at Lake Louise over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Lake Louise?
The full 14-day forecast for Lake Louise — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Lake Louise?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.