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El Colorado ski resort
Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

South America

El Colorado Snow Forecast

65

Superb · 2026 season average

Projected to open June 25, 2027 · average of 103 verified open days

Best months to book: August, September, July · last season + 30-yr record

Projected to open Jun 25 — closed October 18

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

Oct 27

3d ago

Past 24 Hours

0cm

Resort reported

Past 48 Hours

0cm

Past 10 Days

27cm

7-Day Forecast

1cm

Snow Depth

--

🎿

Powder Days

59

2026 season

☀️

Bluebird Days

10

2026 season

Updated: Oct 30, 10:04 PM•Weather at base: 2,430m
SnowSure™ Score2026 season
65

Superb

2026 season average

El Colorado is projected to open June 25, 2027. Last season it averaged 64.8 across 103 verified open days.

Best months to book: August, September, July. Best weeks: 1 Aug–7 Aug, 15 Aug–21 Aug, 8 Aug–14 Aug.Jun3Jul1Aug2SepOctOpened 27 JunClosed 18 Oct

Best months to book

  1. #1August78cm avg · last season 74.8
  2. #2September51cm avg · last season 62.4
  3. #3July75cm avg · last season 60

Best weeks to book

  1. #1 1 Aug – 7 Aug · last season 83.3
  2. #2 15 Aug – 21 Aug · last season 77.7
  3. #3 8 Aug – 14 Aug · last season 71.4

Ranked on 25% last season's SnowSure score (2026) · 75% 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. Last season's strongest fortnight was 17 Jul – 30 Jul. One season describes what happened, not what to expect. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

Updated Oct 30 at 10:04 PM

733cm
Season
28cm
Past 10 days48H 0cm · 24H 0cm
0cm
Today
1cm
Next 6 days
Days 8–14 · Pro
10
0
0
0
1
1
15
Seasontotal
Wed28
Thu29
14 daystotal
—
0
0
0
0
—
0
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
TueOct 20
Wed21
Thu22
Fri23
Sat24
Sun25
Mon26
Tue27
TODAY30
Sat31
SunNov 1
Mon2
Tue3
Wed4
Thu5
Fri6
Sat7
Sun8
Mon9
Tue10
Wed11
Thu12
Freezing line
Snow qualityLight· bestAverage· okayHeavy· wet, skis heavy

Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro

No measurement at mid height (2,882m) reached us: past snow shown is the model's estimate at the summit.

Hourly Forecast

30 Fri
2° / -6°
31 Sat
2° / -6°
1 Sun
0° / -8°
2 Mon
1° / -7°
3 Tue
-1° / -9°
4 Wed
1° / -7°
5 Thu
3° / -8°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight6 Fri7 Sat8 Sun9 Mon10 Tue11 Wed12 Thu
Conditions☀️🌤️☀️☀️🌧️☀️☀️🌤️☀️☁️☁️☁️⛅🌧️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️🌤️☀️
clearmostly clearclearclearlight drizzleclearclearmostly clearclearcloudycloudycloudysome cloudslight drizzleclearclearclearclearclearmostly clearclear
Mid-mountain2,882 mModeled
Temp°C3°7°2°3°5°2°0°4°0°2°5°1°0°4°0°1°4°1°2°6°1°
Feels like°C-3°6°-4°-2°4°-4°-5°1°-5°-3°2°-5°-6°1°-7°-4°3°-5°-3°5°-5°
Snowcm·····0.1··0.1··0.2··0.1··0.1··0.2
Precipmm·1.00.7·2.81.80.10.90.3·1.01.10.10.90.5·1.00.7·0.71.1
Windkm/h515545566546737426637
Summit3,333 mModeled
Temp°C-1°3°-1°0°2°-1°-3°1°-3°-1°2°-2°-3°0°-3°-2°1°-3°-2°2°-2°
Feels like°C-6°2°-7°-6°0°-7°-8°-2°-8°-6°-1°-8°-10°-2°-10°-7°0°-9°-6°2°-8°
Snowcm·····0.8·0.10.1·0.20.8·0.40.3·0.10.4·0.20.7
Precipmm·1.90.7·1.91.9·0.40.2·0.71.20.10.60.4·0.60.7·0.61.1
Windkm/h515545566546737426637
Base2,430 mModeled
Temp°C7°10°6°7°8°5°4°7°4°5°8°4°4°7°3°4°8°3°5°8°4°
Feels like°C-3°7°-2°-1°4°-3°-3°2°-4°-2°3°-4°-4°3°-5°-3°6°-4°-2°6°-4°
Snowcm····0.1··0.40.2·0.30.1·0.10.1······
Precipmm·2.00.9·5.12.20.11.60.7·2.02.20.21.20.7·1.00.7·1.52.8
Windkm/h736736656646646626747
Humidity%485259545958505552315450747165374040295350
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for El Colorado, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For El Colorado (andes), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Andes (Chile & Argentina) region

14 Day map is in SnowSure ProUnlock with Pro

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026

El Colorado El Niño rank & forecast

El Colorado ranks #6 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier A, +56% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain: Historically snowed much more than normal in strong El Niño winters (≥ +8% vs this resort’s own 30-year average).

#6 of 488Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

Strong-event signal: +56% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), El Colorado averaged +56% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically been a friend here. With a record-strength event forecast for winter 2026, El Colorado sits on the favorable side of the ledger. Analog winters: '97-98 +100%, '15-16 +28%, '23-24 +40%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 +100%'15-16 +28%'23-24 +40%

In-season scorecard

Predicted signal

+56%

Measured to date

+118%

Season total

733 cm

Vs predicted

+62%

Predicted signal vs measured season-to-date against this resort’s own climatology.

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 5 past El Niño winters at El Colorado, ERA5 season snowfall median was 500 cm (197 in), about 54% above this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JJA 2026 · ANOM +1.8°C

Analog season median

500cm

5 El Niño winters · 54% above median

All-season median

324cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent5500cm444cm – 517cm2023, 2015, 2009, 2002, 1997
La Niña4286cm235cm – 319cm2022, 2010, 1999, 1998
ENSO-neutral21290cm258cm – 360cm2025, 2024, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about El Colorado

How much snow is El Colorado getting this week?
The SnowSure™ blend forecasts about 1 cm (0 in) of snow at El Colorado over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for El Colorado?
The full 14-day forecast for El Colorado — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for El Colorado?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.