Skip to main content
Crabbe Mountain ski resort
Tier C — ENSO-proof

North America

Crabbe Mountain Snow Forecast

Projected to open Dec 26

Projected to open December 26, 2026

Best months to book: February, March, January · 30-yr snow record

Projected to open Dec 26

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

--

Past 24 Hours

0cm

Past 48 Hours

0cm

Past 10 Days

0cm

7-Day Forecast

0cm

Snow Depth

--

Updated: Oct 30, 11:02 PM•Weather at base: 147m
SnowSure™ ScoreWhen to book
Projected to open Dec 26

Crabbe Mountain is projected to open December 26, 2026. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: February, March, January.NovDec3Jan1Feb2MarAprMay

Best months to book

  1. #1February42cm avg
  2. #2March40cm avg
  3. #3January40cm avg

Ranked on 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

Updated Oct 30 at 11:02 PM

0cm
Season
0cm
Past 10 days48H 0cm · 24H 0cm
0cm
Today
0cm
Next 6 days
Days 8–14 · Pro
Seasontotal
Wed28
Thu29
14 daystotal
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
TueOct 20
Wed21
Thu22
Fri23
Sat24
Sun25
Mon26
Tue27
TODAY30
Sat31
SunNov 1
Mon2
Tue3
Wed4
Thu5
Fri6
Sat7
Sun8
Mon9
Tue10
Wed11
Thu12
Freezing line

Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro

No measurement at mid height (268m) reached us: past snow shown is the model's estimate at the summit.

Hourly Forecast

30 Fri
14° / 4°
31 Sat
4° / -2°
1 Sun
8° / -3°
2 Mon
13° / 3°
3 Tue
6° / -2°
4 Wed
7° / 0°
5 Thu
13° / 7°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight6 Fri7 Sat8 Sun9 Mon10 Tue11 Wed12 Thu
Conditions☀️🌧️⛅☀️☀️☀️🌤️🌤️☀️☀️⛅🌤️☀️☁️☁️🌧️🌧️☁️☁️☁️☁️
clearlight drizzlesome cloudsclearclearclearmostly clearmostly clearclearclearsome cloudsmostly clearclearcloudycloudyheavy drizzledrizzlecloudycloudycloudycloudy
Mid-mountain268 mModeled
Temp°C10°13°9°1°4°2°-1°7°2°5°12°7°4°7°5°5°8°6°9°13°10°
Feels like°C8°10°6°-5°-2°-3°-5°3°-3°2°8°2°-4°3°-1°0°4°2°7°10°9°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm0.10.40.3··········0.10.72.81.53.10.10.30.8
Windkm/h12121519191513161416191410371112981412
Summit389 mModeled
Temp°C9°12°9°0°3°1°-1°6°1°5°11°6°3°6°4°4°8°5°8°13°9°
Feels like°C7°9°5°-5°-3°-4°-6°2°-3°1°7°1°-5°2°-2°-1°3°1°6°9°8°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm0.10.40.3··········0.10.72.81.53.10.10.30.8
Windkm/h12121519191513161416191410371112981412
Base147 mModeled
Temp°C11°14°10°2°5°3°0°8°3°6°13°7°5°7°6°5°9°6°10°14°11°
Feels like°C9°11°7°-4°-1°-2°-4°4°-2°3°9°3°-3°3°0°1°5°3°8°11°10°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm0.10.40.3··········0.10.72.81.53.10.10.30.8
Windkm/h12121519191513161416191410371112981412
Humidity%91798266417077567388608379397499100921009696
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Crabbe Mountain, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Crabbe Mountain (east coast), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Northeast US region

14 Day map is in SnowSure ProUnlock with Pro

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Crabbe Mountain El Niño rank & forecast

Crabbe Mountain ranks #202 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier C, +1% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier C — ENSO-proof: Strong El Niño winters looked like a normal year here — within about ±3% of this resort’s own 30-year snowfall average. Not a jackpot, not a bust: a hedge if you’re planning around El Niño.

#202 of 488Tier C — ENSO-proof

Strong-event signal: +1% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Crabbe Mountain averaged +1% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. El Niño has historically made little difference here — this is an ENSO-proof mountain, for winter 2026-27 as in past events. Analog winters: '97-98 +14%, '15-16 -4%, '23-24 -7%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 +14%'15-16 −4%'23-24 −7%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Crabbe Mountain, ERA5 season snowfall median was 205 cm (81 in), about 7% above this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JAS 2026 · ANOM +2.16°C

Analog season median

205cm

10 El Niño winters · 7% above median

All-season median

191cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10205cm186cm – 243cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12203cm166cm – 235cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8189cm176cm – 227cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about Crabbe Mountain

How much snow is Crabbe Mountain getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at Crabbe Mountain over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Crabbe Mountain?
The full 14-day forecast for Crabbe Mountain — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Crabbe Mountain?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.