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Big Bear Mountain Resort ski resort
Ikon PassView resorts
Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

North America

Big Bear Mountain Resort Snow Forecast

Projected to open Nov 22

Projected to open November 22, 2026

Best months to book: February, January, March · 30-yr snow record

Projected to open Nov 22

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

Oct 23

7d ago

Past 24 Hours

0cm

Past 48 Hours

0cm

Past 10 Days

1cm

7-Day Forecast

0cm

Snow Depth

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Updated: Oct 30, 9:02 PM•Weather at base: 2,176m
SnowSure™ ScoreWhen to book
Projected to open Nov 22

Big Bear Mountain Resort is projected to open November 22, 2026. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: February, January, March.NovDec2Jan1Feb3MarAprMay

Best months to book

  1. #1February32cm avg
  2. #2January27cm avg
  3. #3March22cm avg

Ranked on 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

Updated Oct 30 at 9:02 PM

9cm
Season
1cm
Past 10 days48H 0cm · 24H 0cm
0cm
Today
0cm
Next 6 days
Days 8–14 · Pro
1
Seasontotal
Wed28
Thu29
14 daystotal
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—
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—
—
—
—
—
TueOct 20
Wed21
Thu22
Fri23
Sat24
Sun25
Mon26
Tue27
TODAY30
Sat31
SunNov 1
Mon2
Tue3
Wed4
Thu5
Fri6
Sat7
Sun8
Mon9
Tue10
Wed11
Thu12
Freezing line

Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro

No measurement at mid height (2,430m) reached us: past snow shown is the model's estimate at the summit.

Hourly Forecast

30 Fri
8° / 2°
31 Sat
7° / -1°
1 Sun
8° / -2°
2 Mon
10° / -1°
3 Tue
13° / 3°
4 Wed
8° / 1°
5 Thu
8° / 0°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight6 Fri7 Sat8 Sun9 Mon10 Tue11 Wed12 Thu
Conditions⛅🌧️☁️☁️☁️☁️🌧️🌧️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☁️☁️☀️
some cloudslight drizzlecloudycloudycloudycloudylight drizzlelight drizzleclearclearclearclearclearclearclearclearclearclearcloudycloudyclear
Mid-mountain2,430 mModeled
Temp°C6°8°4°4°8°3°5°7°3°4°10°3°7°12°5°6°10°4°6°9°4°
Feels like°C4°6°2°1°5°1°4°5°1°2°7°1°6°11°2°3°6°0°3°5°1°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm0.11.10.3··0.72.30.92.3············
Windkm/h241434153472263583441
Summit2,684 mModeled
Temp°C4°7°3°3°7°2°3°5°2°2°9°1°5°11°3°4°8°2°4°8°2°
Feels like°C2°5°0°0°3°-1°2°3°-1°1°6°-1°4°10°0°1°4°-1°1°3°-1°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm0.11.10.3··0.72.31.02.5············
Windkm/h241434153472263583441
Base2,176 mModeled
Temp°C7°10°6°6°10°5°6°8°5°5°11°4°8°14°6°7°11°5°7°11°5°
Feels like°C6°8°4°3°7°3°6°7°3°4°9°2°8°13°4°5°7°2°4°7°3°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm0.11.10.3··0.62.40.82.4············
Windkm/h241434153472263583441
Humidity%786386655789967584373744443944364337414557
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Big Bear Mountain Resort, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Big Bear Mountain Resort (sierra), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

California & Sierra Nevada region

14 Day map is in SnowSure ProUnlock with Pro

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Big Bear Mountain Resort El Niño rank & forecast

Big Bear Mountain Resort ranks #14 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier A, +25% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain: Historically snowed much more than normal in strong El Niño winters (≥ +8% vs this resort’s own 30-year average).

#14 of 488Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

Strong-event signal: +25% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Big Bear Mountain Resort averaged +25% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically been a friend here. With a record-strength event forecast for winter 2026-27, Big Bear Mountain Resort sits on the favorable side of the ledger. Analog winters: '97-98 +0%, '15-16 -53%, '23-24 +128%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 0%'15-16 −53%'23-24 +128%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Big Bear Mountain Resort, ERA5 season snowfall median was 112 cm (44 in), about 25% above this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JAS 2026 · ANOM +2.16°C

Analog season median

112cm

10 El Niño winters · 25% above median

All-season median

89cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10112cm47cm – 244cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña1289cm55cm – 115cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral850cm30cm – 168cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about Big Bear Mountain Resort

How much snow is Big Bear Mountain Resort getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at Big Bear Mountain Resort over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Big Bear Mountain Resort?
The full 14-day forecast for Big Bear Mountain Resort — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Big Bear Mountain Resort?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.