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Bad Gastein ski resort
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Tier D — Late bloomer — aim Feb–Mar

Europe

Bad Gastein Snow Forecast

Projected to open November 28, 2026

Best months to book: March, February, April · last season + 30-yr record

Projected to open Nov 28

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

Oct 29

2d ago

Past 24 Hours

0cm

Past 48 Hours

0cm

Past 10 Days

17cm

7-Day Forecast

10cm

Snow Depth

--

Updated: Oct 31, 12:04 AM•Weather at base: 1,083m
SnowSure™ Score2025-26 season
Projected to open Nov 28

Bad Gastein is projected to open November 28, 2026. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: March, February, April. Best weeks: 22 Mar–28 Mar, 15 Mar–21 Mar, 29 Mar–4 Apr.NovDecJan2Feb1Mar3AprOpens 28 NovCloses 12 Apr

Best months to book

  1. #1March61cm avg · last season 33.1
  2. #2February55cm avg · last season 39.7
  3. #3April51cm avg · last season 28.2

Best weeks to book

  1. #1 22 Mar – 28 Mar · last season 43.3
  2. #2 15 Mar – 21 Mar · last season 39.9
  3. #3 29 Mar – 4 Apr · last season 39.9

Ranked on 25% last season's SnowSure score (2025-26) · 75% 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

Updated Oct 31 at 12:04 AM

18cm
Season
17cm
Past 10 days48H 0cm · 24H 0cm
0cm
Today
10cm
Next 6 days
Days 8–14 · Pro
5
1
4
3
3
1
Seasontotal
Thu29
Fri30
14 daystotal
0
7
2
1
0
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
WedOct 21
Thu22
Fri23
Sat24
Sun25
Mon26
Tue27
Wed28
TODAY31
SunNov 1
Mon2
Tue3
Wed4
Thu5
Fri6
Sat7
Sun8
Mon9
Tue10
Wed11
Thu12
Fri13
Freezing line
Snow qualityLight· bestAverage· okayHeavy· wet, skis heavy

Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro

No measurement at mid height (1,885m) reached us: past snow shown is the model's estimate at the summit.

Hourly Forecast

31 Sat
-3° / -11°
1 Sun
-8° / -11°
2 Mon
-5° / -11°
3 Tue
-5° / -10°
4 Wed
-4° / -9°
5 Thu
-4° / -12°
6 Fri
-2° / -12°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight7 Sat8 Sun9 Mon10 Tue11 Wed12 Thu13 Fri
Conditions☀️☀️☁️❄️❄️❄️☁️☁️❄️☁️☁️☁️☁️☁️☁️☁️🌤️☁️☀️☀️☀️
clearclearcloudylight snowlight snowlight snowcloudycloudylight snowcloudycloudycloudycloudycloudycloudycloudymostly clearcloudyclearclearclear
Mid-mountain1,885 mModeled
Temp°C-1°1°-2°-4°-3°-4°-4°-2°-4°-3°0°-3°-1°1°-3°-2°1°-4°-3°2°-4°
Feels like°C-6°-3°-8°-8°-8°-9°-7°-4°-8°-7°-3°-7°-4°-2°-5°-6°-4°-7°-8°-2°-9°
Snowcm··0.32.31.32.60.40.41.20.10.10.4··0.1····0.10.5
Precipmm··0.43.32.03.60.50.61.70.10.20.5··0.1····0.30.7
Windkm/h786898778545344462241
Summit2,686 mModeled
Temp°C-6°-4°-7°-9°-9°-10°-9°-7°-9°-8°-5°-8°-6°-4°-8°-8°-4°-9°-8°-3°-9°
Feels like°C-12°-9°-13°-14°-13°-15°-13°-10°-14°-12°-9°-13°-10°-7°-11°-12°-10°-13°-13°-7°-15°
Snowcm··0.43.41.93.70.60.51.50.20.10.5··0.1····0.20.7
Precipmm·0.10.43.41.93.70.60.61.50.20.20.5··0.1····0.30.7
Windkm/h786898778545344462241
Base1,083 mModeled
Temp°C4°7°3°1°2°1°1°3°1°2°4°2°2°6°2°3°7°1°3°8°2°
Feels like°C2°6°-1°-1°0°-2°-2°0°-2°-2°0°-1°-2°2°-2°-1°5°-3°-1°6°-4°
Snowcm···0.9·1.10.2·0.4············
Precipmm··0.32.20.82.00.40.41.50.10.10.4·······0.30.7
Windkm/h264334121332242454544
Humidity%817496868793929295918895928596948596766988
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Bad Gastein, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Bad Gastein (alps), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

The Alps region

14 Day map is in SnowSure ProUnlock with Pro

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Bad Gastein El Niño rank & forecast

Bad Gastein ranks #263 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier D, −4% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier D — Late bloomer — aim Feb–Mar: Often a bit lighter early (−3% to −8% vs normal). History favors waiting for peak-depth months (often Feb–Mar) rather than skipping the resort.

#263 of 488Tier D — Late bloomer — aim Feb–Mar

Strong-event signal: −4% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Bad Gastein averaged -4% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. Historically this is a timing play rather than a reason to stay home: aim for late winter (February–March) in winter 2026-27. Analog winters: '97-98 -27%, '15-16 -15%, '23-24 +31%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 −27%'15-16 −15%'23-24 +31%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Bad Gastein, ERA5 season snowfall median was 372 cm (146 in), about 14% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JAS 2026 · ANOM +2.16°C

Analog season median

372cm

10 El Niño winters · 14% below median

All-season median

431cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10372cm327cm – 556cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12448cm386cm – 522cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8451cm423cm – 513cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about Bad Gastein

How much snow is Bad Gastein getting this week?
The SnowSure™ blend forecasts about 10 cm (4 in) of snow at Bad Gastein over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Bad Gastein?
The full 14-day forecast for Bad Gastein — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Bad Gastein?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.