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Adelboden-Lenk ski resort
Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

Europe

Adelboden-Lenk Snow Forecast

Projected to open November 28, 2026

Best months to book: March, February, January · last season + 30-yr record

Projected to open Nov 28

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

Oct 25

5d ago

Past 24 Hours

0cm

Past 48 Hours

0cm

Past 10 Days

16cm

7-Day Forecast

0cm

Snow Depth

--

Updated: Oct 30, 11:01 PM•Weather at base: 1,075m
SnowSure™ Score2025-26 season
Projected to open Nov 28

Adelboden-Lenk is projected to open November 28, 2026. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: March, February, January. Best weeks: 22 Mar–28 Mar, 15 Mar–21 Mar, 29 Mar–4 Apr.NovDec3Jan2Feb1MarAprOpens 28 NovCloses 4 Apr

Best months to book

  1. #1March85cm avg · last season 37.2
  2. #2February89cm avg · last season 25.7
  3. #3January96cm avg

Best weeks to book

  1. #1 22 Mar – 28 Mar · last season 46.7
  2. #2 15 Mar – 21 Mar · last season 42.3
  3. #3 29 Mar – 4 Apr · last season 47.4

Ranked on 25% last season's SnowSure score (2025-26) · 75% 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

Updated Oct 30 at 11:01 PM

21cm
Season
16cm
Past 10 days48H 0cm · 24H 0cm
0cm
Today
0cm
Next 6 days
Days 8–14 · Pro
6
7
3
Seasontotal
Thu29
Fri30
14 daystotal
—
0
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
WedOct 21
Thu22
Fri23
Sat24
Sun25
Mon26
Tue27
Wed28
TODAY31
SunNov 1
Mon2
Tue3
Wed4
Thu5
Fri6
Sat7
Sun8
Mon9
Tue10
Wed11
Thu12
Fri13
Freezing line
Snow qualityLight· bestAverage· okayHeavy· wet, skis heavy

Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro

No measurement at mid height (1,719m) reached us: past snow shown is the model's estimate at the summit.

Hourly Forecast

31 Sat
4° / -7°
1 Sun
-2° / -9°
2 Mon
-3° / -8°
3 Tue
0° / -7°
4 Wed
2° / -7°
5 Thu
3° / -7°
6 Fri
4° / -7°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight7 Sat8 Sun9 Mon10 Tue11 Wed12 Thu13 Fri
Conditions☀️☀️☀️☀️☁️☀️⛅☁️☁️🌤️☁️☁️☀️☀️☀️☀️🌤️☀️☀️🌤️☀️
clearclearclearclearcloudyclearsome cloudscloudycloudymostly clearcloudycloudyclearclearclearclearmostly clearclearclearmostly clearclear
Mid-mountain1,719 mModeled
Temp°C2°6°0°-1°0°-2°-2°0°-3°0°3°-2°1°5°-1°2°5°0°2°6°0°
Feels like°C0°4°-4°-4°-4°-6°-5°-4°-6°-3°-1°-5°-1°2°-5°-3°2°-6°-3°4°-4°
Snowcm····0.10.1···········0.1··0.2
Precipmm····0.10.1···········0.1·0.10.4
Windkm/h152594464152234757424
Summit2,362 mModeled
Temp°C-1°2°-3°-5°-4°-5°-5°-2°-6°-3°0°-4°-2°1°-4°-3°1°-4°-3°1°-4°
Feels like°C-4°0°-9°-9°-9°-11°-10°-9°-11°-7°-6°-10°-6°-3°-9°-8°-3°-10°-8°-1°-9°
Snowcm·····0.1·············0.10.3
Precipmm····0.10.1···········0.1·0.20.5
Windkm/h152594464152234757424
Base1,075 mModeled
Temp°C6°10°4°3°4°2°1°4°1°3°6°2°4°8°3°5°8°3°5°10°4°
Feels like°C5°9°0°0°1°-2°0°1°-2°2°4°0°3°7°0°2°6°-1°2°9°1°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm····0.10.1···········0.1·0.10.4
Windkm/h152594464152234757424
Humidity%667493507980789194698893596676725377645377
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Adelboden-Lenk, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Adelboden-Lenk (alps), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

The Alps region

14 Day map is in SnowSure ProUnlock with Pro

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Adelboden-Lenk El Niño rank & forecast

Adelboden-Lenk ranks #72 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier A, +10% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain: Historically snowed much more than normal in strong El Niño winters (≥ +8% vs this resort’s own 30-year average).

#72 of 488Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

Strong-event signal: +10% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Adelboden-Lenk averaged +10% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically been a friend here. With a record-strength event forecast for winter 2026-27, Adelboden-Lenk sits on the favorable side of the ledger. Analog winters: '97-98 -5%, '15-16 +4%, '23-24 +31%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 −5%'15-16 +4%'23-24 +31%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Adelboden-Lenk, ERA5 season snowfall median was 589 cm (232 in), about 1% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JAS 2026 · ANOM +2.16°C

Analog season median

589cm

10 El Niño winters · 1% below median

All-season median

597cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10589cm550cm – 632cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12667cm547cm – 718cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8573cm542cm – 656cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

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Frequently asked questions about Adelboden-Lenk

How much snow is Adelboden-Lenk getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at Adelboden-Lenk over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Adelboden-Lenk?
The full 14-day forecast for Adelboden-Lenk — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Adelboden-Lenk?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.