Late-October North Atlantic System
3 resorts in the path, 32cm at the biggest. Likely — the models agree on this one.
+92CM
Predicted at Engelberg-Titlis
26–190cm across the models
Storm
Oct 23–26
3 resorts in the path
Peak
Oct 24
21cm at Hintertux Glacier Ski Resort
Predicted
92cm
Engelberg-Titlis · 26–190cm across the models
Confidence
Likely
Updated
Oct 21, 00:30 UTC
SnowSure Forecaster
Written from the blend and the model spread · updated Oct 21, 00:30 UTC
Current prediction: 32cm for Hintertux Glacier Ski Resort between 2026-10-23 and 2026-10-26, 32cm our central figure. The biggest day is 2026-10-24 at 21cm. Also in the path: Pitztal Glacier 31cm, Stubai Glacier 31cm. Confidence is likely: the models agree on both the window and the magnitude. These figures are re-read from the latest model blend; each entry in the log keeps what we said at the time.
Forecast log
Every entry, newest first. Nothing is overwritten.
- Day 5·Oct 21·Likely·92cmLanded
The window opened today. Final prediction: 2026-10-23 to 2026-10-27, 91.6cm
The window opened today with our final prediction of 91.6cm for Engelberg-Titlis, 38.3cm for Kitzsteinhorn - Kaprun, and 37.9cm for Galdhopiggen. Since our initial call, the window start has shifted one day later, and the top total has increased by 1.5cm. Confidence remains likely, with trends strengthening for Engelberg-Titlis and Kitzsteinhorn - Kaprun, while we continue to monitor Galdhopiggen. The forecast for day one now indicates 57.2cm from 2026-10-24 to 2026-10-28.
Window Oct 23–27 · Engelberg-Titlis
- Day 4·Oct 20·Likely·92cm(+2)
Day 4: totals up 1.5cm; window starts 2026-10-23
Day 4: totals up 1.5cm since the previous entry, and the window has shifted to begin on 2026-10-23. We are forecasting 91.6cm for Engelberg-Titlis, with a range of 26.1–189.5cm, peaking at 64.6cm on 2026-10-25. Kitzsteinhorn - Kaprun is expected to receive 38.3cm, ranging from 5.6–70.1cm, with its largest day on 2026-10-24 at 23.5cm. Galdhopiggen is projected to see 37.9cm, with a range of 10.2–82.8cm, and its biggest day on 2026-10-25 at 15.1cm. We will continue to monitor developments closely as the event approaches.
Window Oct 23–27 · Engelberg-Titlis
- Day 3·Oct 19·Likely·90cm(+2)
Day 3: totals up 12cm; window starts 2026-10-22
Day 3: totals up 12cm since the previous entry, and the window has shifted to start on 2026-10-22. We expect Engelberg-Titlis to lead with 90.1cm over the window, while Galdhopiggen follows with 66cm. Kitzsteinhorn - Kaprun, Gletscherwelt Zillertal 3000, and Hintertux Glacier Ski Resort are also showing promising totals. The biggest day for Engelberg-Titlis is forecasted for 2026-10-25 at 50cm. As we approach the window, we will monitor how the system develops and any adjustments to the totals.
Window Oct 22–Nov 1 · Engelberg-Titlis
- Day 2·Oct 18·Likely·88cm(+31)
Day 2: totals up 31cm, 18–202cm for Galdhopiggen
Day 2: totals up 31cm at Galdhopiggen, the window moved 3 days earlier, confidence moved from watching to likely, 2 resorts joined the path. Current prediction: 18–202cm for Galdhopiggen between 2026-10-21 and 2026-10-28, 88cm our central figure. The biggest day is 2026-10-26 at 20cm. Also in the path: Engelberg-Titlis 33cm, Hintertux Glacier Ski Resort 30cm. Confidence is likely: the models agree on both the window and the magnitude. By resort: Likely at 2 of 3 resorts. On day one we said 57cm from 2026-10-24; that is the number we are measured against. What to watch next: whether the models hold the window, whether the low tracks closer to the core resorts, and the freezing level in the days before it arrives. 3 days to go.
Window Oct 21–28 · Galdhopiggen
- Day 1·Oct 17·Watching·57cmFirst prediction
Confidence grows: 57.2cm for Galdhopiggen Oct 24–28
The prediction for the late-October North Atlantic system indicates a total of 57.2cm for Galdhopiggen over the window from October 24 to October 28, with a range of 16.5–128.6cm. Current data suggests a strengthening trend, which could lead to significant snowfall during this period. Galdhopiggen is likely to see the most snow, particularly on October 27, when we anticipate the biggest day with 20.6cm. Other resorts may not experience the same levels of accumulation, as the focus appears to be on Galdhopiggen. Should the models shift or show a different pattern, we could reassess the totals.
Window Oct 24–28 · Galdhopiggen
Snow by day
Oct 22 – Oct 27, with a day either side. For each resort: where the freeze line sits against the mountain, then what falls — snow in cm, rain in mm — and the day read from those two numbers.
Hintertux Glacier Ski Resortbase 1,500 m · summit 3,250 m
—cm snow
no daily data
Pitztal Glacierbase 1,640 m · summit 3,440 m
—cm snow
no daily data
Stubai Glacierbase 1,695 m · summit 3,210 m
—cm snow
no daily data
No daily series on file for these resorts yet.
Rain / snow line
Base to summit for each mountain, with the snow line cut across them.
The system
700mb flow — where the storm is, and what is steering it. Pins sized by forecast total.
72-hour snowfall forecast for the same window.
In the path
The prediction is what we said before the snow. The receipt is what actually fell.
What fell
Every watch ends in a public receipt, hit or miss.
- Hintertux Glacier Ski ResortWe predicted 32cm. 15cm fell.
- Stubai GlacierWe predicted 31cm. 0cm fell.Miss
Last updated 2026-10-20 18:30 UTC. SnowSure scans a blend of seven weather models twice daily and flags systems clearing 30cm over 72 hours, three to fourteen days out. This watch opened on 2026-10-15 with 31cm forecast at Hintertux Glacier Ski Resort.
